Trump Media & Technology Group’s stock is tumbling again after the company announced a massive new influx of shares.
Trump Media & Technology Group’s stock is tumbling again after the company announced a massive new influx of shares. The struggling company is rapidly losing money, and a new stock offering could help it stay afloat.
But there’s a downside to going back to the market with new shares: A new public stock offering of 21.5 million shares announced Monday would add more than 15% more stock to the publicly available shares of the Truth Social owner. That would substantially devalue existing shareholders’ stakes — including that of former President Donald Trump.
Shares of TMTG (DJT) fell more than 15% Monday. The stock had rocketed higher in recent months in anticipation of merging a blank-check acquisition company with Trump’s media business. But it has lost more than 60% of its value from its peak on March 26, the day after the merger was completed and it started trading publicly as TMTG.
My eyes nearly rolled out of my head seeing that he had the stock symbol be his initials, but after a moment of thought, I realized it must be killing him to see "his" value plummet. That's wonderful.
Usually, if you’re running for president, you want to invest money into political or media machines that are going to create true believers for you
If you’re taking the already existing true believers, who think you’re a business genius and all your prosecutions are politically motivated and the election was stolen (like really honestly think all of that is what happened, because they are too deep sunk in propaganda to even see the surface)… and creating an opportunity for them to lose a bunch of their own money by investing in your company, like really be exposed on a personal unavoidable level to how much of a fraud you are and always have been… you’re doing it wrong.
I get it. It’s desperation; you have to siphon money out of them because you need all you can get right now. But it still seems like a tactical error, like there must be another way.
No. Usually if you are running for president, you put your investments into a blind trust.
what with his faith in humanity and all.
The 70's are over. Carter putting the farm in a blind trust was rewarded with Republicans bribing Iranian terrorists to keep the hostages longer. Disco is dead.
It's the deep state shorting the stock bro. Trust me bro. Just keep buying the stock bro.
Trump's social media stock is gonna bring down wall street, make you rich, stop the liberals, suck your dick, stop communism, let you suck its dick, stop the RINOs, and help Russia stop the nazis.
Are you implying that Trump believers with faith deep enough to buy the stock regularly (eg they're not an oligarch/enterprise doing it to bribe Trump) is thinking this logically?
People either vote for him for other reasons (tax cuts for the rich, conservatism, fear for the border or racism) or are deep enough into a cult to disregard anything.
Yeah, maybe. His cult is absolutely surrounded by a singular media drumbeat of him being smart, him being rich, him being a winner, the Democrats being bad and evil and jealous and cheaters at the election and just every bad thing in the world. I'm not saying that losing a whole bunch of their personal money because they operated on that model will definitely in itself break them out of the illusion; I definitely think some of them are in too deep even for direct personal experience to impact their perception (especially if the drumbeat is continuing exactly as before). But it'll at least give them a saving throw or something I think.
If you have made it your whole life through cheating, and you think cheating worse than everybody else makes you smart, cheating becomes the only way you know to accomplish anything.
Matthew Tuttle, chief executive of Tuttle Capital Management, says that management would be “stupid” not to issue new stock, even though the move will upset shareholders.
“Whenever you see a stock jump, like you saw this jump, a secondary offering is always a risk,” said Tuttle.
So not only does each stock holder own less of the company as a percent but the actual value of their stock is also lower.
This is normal for a company, when it releases more stock, as the cononay foes not magically become worth more. What's odd is releasing more while its already tanking and needing the funds so soon after it floated.
Money from new stocks isn’t hypothetical, it’s cash traded for ownership. They just had a successful ipo and then plummeted, so they should have quite a bit of real money. Minting new stock in this situation is basically the opposite of what you’d do if you wanted your share in the company to have value. It’s the behavior of a desperate embezzler who either has no idea how to not get caught or knows they’re going to and wants to take the money and flee immediately
The value is hypothetical. Trumpnvant sell for 6 months. Sonsoneone is getting money when people Bought the shares. It may have gone to the company of shares were diluted, but then why do they need money so quickly?
Wouldn't people still own the same percentage, but the company itself just own less?
I don't believe they can just create shares out of thin air. The company would typically own a certain amount of shares the entire time and then sell the ones they own.
So if you had 1% before and the company owned 50%, they might decide to sell half of their shares so they now only own 25% but you still own your 1%. You don't just magically have 0.5% now.
The reason the shares drop in price when this happens is because it's a sign that the company is either in financial trouble and seeking for a quick influx of cash or it's a sign that the company doesn't have much hope for its future success and wants to sell now before the price naturally starts to go down anyways.
How to increase the authorized shares of stock?
An increase on the authorized shares of stock has to be formally requested to the state by filing “articles of amendment”. A shareholders’ meeting is ussually required to authorize an increase of the shares since their ownership of the company will be affected due to this change.
So... Not quite how it works. The company gets an authorized number of shares which it can then issue out, or sell to shareholders.
If you own 100 shares out of the 1000 they are authorized, you own 10% of the company.
Now if they request and are authorized more shares (which is what happened here), your stake in the company is cut down. Let's say they get authorized and issue another 1000 shares, bringing them to 2000 total shares. You now only own 5% of the company.
And with these new shares hitting the open market, prices will drop because now there is "more supply than demand" (it's an easy way to think about it). In theory the whole thing will eventually even out, but that generally doesn't happen here because the value of the company hasn't changed.
This whole thing is different compared to a stock split, which affects the price and the number of stocks, but not your overall stake in it. If a company does a 2:1 split, your shares will double, but the price per share will be cut in half. 10 shares at $10 now becomes 20 shares at $5... Your stake is still at $100
It can be either. Calling it a new release is ambiguous. They also call it a new stock offering, which is also ambiguous but is why I presumed dilution.
Buying puts are crazy expensive, showing just how shitty the stock is. For all puts a month out, it's gotta lose 25% of its current value just to break even.
So what would happen if a lot of us liberal minded folks bought up all this worthless stock on the cheap? Would maga fucks pay us (by buying back our interest at a healthy margin) not to influence the trump media group with demands for "woke" media to profit on our investments? 🤔
No, they probably wouldn't purchase it, nor is there enough shares for sale to influence the company much. All it'd do is raise the value of shares. If you want to throw your money away, at least do it in a way that doesn't benefit these assholes.
Reddit (rddt) is in the "chop" zone. At the current market cap Truth Social has valued their users at $4115 each. Facebook only values their users at $299.25. If they assumed the same as Facebook, the stock would be valued around $4.54/share!
I mean, just throwing it out there, but I think you are trying to do a bit of fundementals on this. Which is like, fine, and on a sane planet is exactly how you should think about things.
However, we do not live on a sane planet, and when you look at stocks like TSLA, APPL, GME, I mean fuck, basically everything. You look at startup and VC valuations, like the whole fucking thing is so detached from fundamentals. I guess there are some classes of stock where fundamental analysis is how you should determine a valuation, but clearly, fundamentals have not been driving valuations for a very very long time. Its that "something else" that is driving price.
So that being said, does Truth Social have that something else? Truth social is a joke of a social media company. Its not the product or the service or its user base you would be gambling on for this one, its one asshole named DJT. I personally would put a negative value on its users/ userbase. From an advertiser perspective, they might actually cost me money by engaging with the platform That being said, consider if Donny Tinyhands wins in November, what do you think happens to Truth Socials price? Like it exists as a stock SPECIFICALLY to enrich Orange Mangosteen. It would go gang busters. Why? Because he's corrupt as fuck and the stock is a vehicle purely for self enrichment. You think he wont self deal? You think Republicans in the house or Senate would do anything more than wag a finger? Fuck some of them might just end up becoming hypemen for whatever boner-pills or kettle bell testosterone supplements and being schlepped on the platform. Fuck, if Biden doesn't start doing better, we'll probably find out Pelosi has gone long.
I would look at the stock as a somewhat real time indicator of Donald Trumps chances in the 2024 election. If people think he's going to win, they should buy the stock. If they think he's going to lose, they should sell/ short the stock. And it may even be backwards from that, because of Trumps cash position and his legal entanglements. The more volatile/ lower the price goes, the less he's able to use it as leverage to increase his cash position. He may end up relying on that to continue to fund his legal battles and presidential campaigns.
I mean if you were looking at META in November 2023, you would say the same thing right? It was down 75% from ATH. It was dropping WAY faster than Truth social has been. I mean the metaverse? C'mon.
Since then its run up 500%. Is meta 500% more valuable than it was 2 years ago?
AMD ran up from $2 in 2016 to $160 today. That's a 8000% increase. Did they start doing 80x the business?
Prices don't mean shit. Fundamentals don't mean shit. Nothing means anything. Its bullshit stacked on bullshit stacked on bullshit.There is no inherent meaning to price and value. Its all relative made up bullshit. Its not untrue to say that its all a fugazi. You just gotta appreciate that its all made up before you wade in.
It's pretty close to the most shorted stock in history, and none of its fundamentals are good. They're straight up awful. Like, really, really, really bad.
There is no reason the stock should be worth more than a few pennies. If that.
Talking about it like it's comparable to other stocks is completely ignoring literally every single data point in the market. Every. One.
So, you're either completely ignorant of how the stock market works, and shouldn't be listened to; or you're aware of all of this and trying to create some sense of normalcy for the bullshit that is DJT, in which case you also shouldn't be listened to.
It doesn't really matter which one it is, honestly. The result is the same. You're not to be listened to :)
Like, you aren't really worth replying to because you've got it so fucking backwards, but if you think this stock is that bad, then put your money where your mouth is and buy puts.
I've explained it elsewhere so you can paw around and find the longer form explanation, but in a stock market fully detached from fundamentals, making along bet on this stock is betting on a Trump win in November. What price would you think this stock is worth if Trump is once again in the white house?
AMD was worth 18 dollars. Then it was worth two. Now its worth 160. What does a stocks price mean did the actual value of the company swing that much?
Meta dropped 250 billion in value in a single trading session. What did that mean?
How about Nikola. They rolled a prop without any parts that could be considered vehicular down a hill. Their stock was a literal rocket. Its now worth 1/100th that price, and yet they still have a 800 million dollar market cap.
See its either that no stock prices make sense and its all horse shit, or that things are based in fundamentals, and you are just measuring the wrong things. You can't have it both ways.
If you think you know more than me, then saddle up to the bar and down load some trading app and give the hog a crank. I'm doing just fine making decisions on how I think things work. If you are so confident in your world view, bet on it.