LargePenis [he/him] @ LargePenis @hexbear.net

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I genuinely think it will be faster this time, I expect it will look more like Avdiivka than Bakhmut. The Russians are vastly superior in urban battles, while Ukraine is in a dire situation on multiple sectors of the front and don't even have a manpower advantage anywhere. They don't have a place that they can pull experienced troops from anymore. They can't pull out of Toretsk, nor Chasov Yar, nor Kupyansk, because all these sectors will collapse if they pull troops from there. My prediction is that Pokrovsk and Myrnograd are both captured by January 1

Found my post about it

https://hexbear.net/comment/4913425

Lmao

I think it's now fair to call what's happening in Pokrovsk a big collapse for the AFU, perhaps the biggest since the lines stabilised in late 2022. The whole South Donetsk front has completely broken for the AFU, with barely any fighting units left because of the Kursk adventure and there are barely any fortifications at this point. The Ukrainians in true capitalist fashion gave the contracts for digging fortifications to private entities who stole the money and didn't dig anything beyond the areas close to the January 2024 frontline near Avdiivka, so it's now a big problem when the front has moved 35kms further. Everything that moves into the Donbass goes through Pokrovsk and Myrnograd, and Russians are now 7km from Pokrovsk and 1km from Myrnograd. Pokrovsk is also the gateway into Dnipro Oblast, which is the most valuable Oblast for Ukraine with its farmlands and massive Soviet industry. If Pokrovsk falls before the end of 2024, then Russia will basically be in a position where the entirety of Donetsk Oblast falls in 2025, and they can even rush along the E50 and the railroad straight towards Pavlograd by the end of 2025. It's a horrible situation for the AFU in South Donetsk, everything from Pokovsk to Kurakhove to Ugledar is on the verge of collapsing now.

The Portuguese Empire is so interesting to read about, especially the weird colonial things that they were doing in Angola and Mozambique. Then the whole thing with the capital moving to Brazil and not lasting very long. And then the fascists refusing to leave the colonies until the fucking 70s, which even the Brits and the French questioned lmao

The news mega podcast is unironically a good idea. We do 10 mins of Russia Ukraine, 20 mins of dunking on Israel and the remaining 30 mins is reruns of bad cumtown bits but about Zelensky, Netanyahu and Kamala Harris.

Thank you.

We have one cousin who works in Sour (Tyre) that we're all worried about, but he's going to Beirut this week and hopefully can stay there off work for a few weeks until it's clear wtf will happen

Goddamn, I log off for 12 fucking hours to have a nice silent day with the wife after delivering the boy to her mom. I check my phone and the family group chat suddenly has 150 messages and pics of my aunt storing rice and cans of chickpeas in her Beirut house attic. One should truly never even consider logging off.

Some of the sights in the ongoing Arbaeen pilgrimage in Iraq:

This is the PFLP and Hamas alliance of Hexbear

I'm getting reports that it's this azov guy

Probably Mike Pence lmao

I've been watching some clips of the DNC because I hate myself and like to torture myself. It's still a freak show, but I give the Democrats credit for being significantly less freaky than the Republicans. I think that the main takeaway from watching all the speeches and the reactions is that it's so clear that Obama is the greatest modern American politician when it comes to charisma and presence. I wish that he was on our side, it's a shame that such a natural talent is evil. You look at the rest with their boring soulless speeches and lack of charisma, then comes Obama and makes everyone look like an absolute noob. I genuinely believe that both parties won't produce anything close to him even in 50 years if the corpse of the US continues even fighting for so long.

crazy if true

I realised something about the Iranian & gang response to Israel while scrolling through Arab Facebook today. They're waiting for the Arbaeen pilgrimage to end by Monday. Arbaeen is the biggest gathering of people in Shia Islam and happens every year fourty days after the martyrdom of Imam Hussein and his family. To give an example of how important it is, the massive youth protests in Iraq broke out on the 1st October 2019 and lasted five days, then they took a 20 day break to do Arbaeen, then returned on the 25th. The pilgrimage usually attracts more than 25 million people who walk from the Iraqi-Iranian border and main hubs in the cities of Basra, Baghdad and Najaf. The success of this pilgrimage is of utmost importance to the Iranian and Iraqi governments, even covid couldn't fully stop it. When dealing with a freak enemy such as Israel, you can't put 25 million people in the danger zone. My wife's uncle posted pics this morning and it was just crazy, the amount of people there is just unfathomable. I think we've all missed this context on the bear forum and on twitter. The Axis of Resistance acts upon Shia interests first and Palestine second, this pilgrimage has to be protected in order to do something for Palestine. The Iranians and Lebanese Shias get home by the end of the weekend, then something can be done. Look up a stream on YouTube or something, you'll be shocked by the scale of this. Lots of revolutionary content is in this year's pilgrimage btw, I've seen posters of Ismail Haniyah and other martyrs, and there are Palestine flags along the whole road.

Search this on YouTube if you're interested: زيارة الاربعين

Literally the most zionist and nazi TV channel in the Arab World, operates out of the UAE of course

The funny thing about Al Jazeera is that they're mostly absolute trash especially when it comes to Iran and Syria, but they look like the reincarnation of Lenin compared to those freaks at Al Arabiya, Al Hadath and Sky News Arabia. I'll always give the Qataris some credit for being way more competent and genuinely closer to the will of the collective Arab nation compared to the Saudis and the Emiratis. They did their best reporting imo during the Qatar crisis a few years ago, when the diplomatic language was fully gone and they blasted Israel, the UAE and Saudi all day and night. That period felt very cathartic for us news nerds honestly.

cuck n chad ranking: COTW son edition

A reminder of the rules (which change whenever I want): First row is reserved for UKR vs RUS, because we respect traditions on this website. 2nd and 3rd rows are random, anything can be included here. 4th is just people. I'm doing these once a month these days, enough room to give some new material and I have less free time since lil Hassan spawned.

Gigachad	Chad	Neutral	Beta (Fe)Male	Virgin Cuck
News nerds (us daily Telegram readers are finally vindicated, things are hot again for the first time since 2022)	Putin (downgrade, he took a reputation L with Kursk, but things are going so quick and well on the real front so he's still a chad)	Zaluzhny (he did lots of useless shit as commander-in-chief, but he's vindicated for questioning and refusing to accept some of the current clown show)	Zelensky (little upgrade for our actor, he got some positive coverage for Kursk and got his F-16)	Syrskyi (so stupid and incompetent that he's actually Russia's strongest solider)
Hamas, PIJ, Qassam, PFLP and all resistance groups in Gaza (Allah's bravest soliders)	Hezbollah and Iran (based on paper considering past record, but:	Cuba olympic team (amazing socialist sports program, but sanctions and athletes immigrating and getting bought by rich capitalist nations have decimated this wonderful program)	Bahrain olympic team (buying a bunch of Armenians and Kenyans just to win gold medals, embarrassing)	LargePenis (this person should never make predictions again, he deseves this cuck place until he understands this)
The people of Gaza, especially Yahya Sinwar (bravest people ever)	Ansarallah (undefeated by the great satan and his little cucks, eat shit Saudi Arabia)	Bangladeshi "revolution" (still haven't decoded who's based or not here, but I mostly respect people getting angry and getting out on the streets)	Bernie Sanders (getting more coherent socialist ideas from Theo Von these days)	Lebanese Maronite nationalists (strong competitor to the Iranian diaspora in cucked behavior, imagine wanting your country to get bombed because you don't like Hezbollah and want to speak French like a true comprador cuck)
Ismail Haniyeh (lived an honorable life, and died an honorable death)	Pan Zhanle (record-breaking Chinese swimmer that made the mayos seeth)	Kamala Harris (dems did some competent moves, she sucks but she will win just because she kinda looks normal compared to that freak Trump)	Donald Trump (completely fumbled the easiest election ever, has lost his steam and even his getting shot aura)	Emmanuel Macron (familiar place for this cuck, imagine getting booed at your own olympics lmao)

What an absolute honor to have my son as the COTW, proud dad here. I'm sure he'll be very happy when I tell him in a few years that he's famous on the Putin-backed bear podcast offshoot forum nerd mega. You're all getting a good old ranking today, in honor of my humiliation yesterday and for the little fella.

It's joever

Humiliate me hexbear, laugh in my face, call me a virgin cuck, and rename me TinyPenis, I deserve this for making dumbass predictions