Nobody bothers polling in Kansas. 538 has two polls that just came out, one has Kamala losing by 11 points. Before that, the most recent poll was in April.
Yeah ok fuck it whatever you're right, Kamala is going to win all 50 states so hard that they make a 51st state called Harrison which she also wins, good job libs
I've been saying since right after Trump's assassination attempt that I don't think he's got the juice anymore and Kamala's basically unable to lose but these people genuinely make me hope just a little bit that I'm wrong
Look, Harrison is kinda weird. It's roughly the size of Liechtenstein so it's really tiny and it's today old. But it was a historical region that happened to be divided. It spanned most of two counties one of which happened to be in Vermont and the other in New Hampshire. They speak English there and to be blunt - they're mostly white. So Biden made it a state with the extraordinary official act powers given to the Office of the Presidency by the Supreme Court
Aaron Sorkin's Harrison is going to be a 12 part HBO Max miniseries. There's more. It's a natural that an unincorporated community in new state gets to vote first. I'm all in favor of Harrison's Whitey's Knob being the first place in the nation to vote in 2026 because it was placed officially in the ET+1 time zone. This will help the dems not only in that year but in 2028 which is - duh, the most important election of our lifetime. The Hollywood buzz is that musical Whitey's Knob by Lin-Manuel Miranda is indeed going forward. All of this stuff shows the power of American democracy.
But ya gotta cool your jets on your wish list. Biden can't just do anything he wants via his official acts power. The situation in Puerto Rico is complicated and nuanced. They got a different culture there and they speak Spanish. It's been a country/state territory thing for a very long time so it's unrealistic for Biden to...
Kinda want Kamala to win just because it will be interesting to study the liberal brain under the first incontroveribly fascist Democrat administration.
That was the Biden admin, and what they did was just Stancilism (look at this graph, it says things are great therefore things are great. Pay no attention to the deportations or the murders)
Look, I've used a graph so I've already won this argument - leftie. But reply back if you want and dig your own grave deeper and deeper because I have ~10 more graphs on this topic.
When asked about their preferences regarding the upcoming presidential election,
46.3% of respondents would vote for Donald Trump, and 36.5% would vote for Kamala Harris. Another 6.8% chose neither candidate, 7.3% did not plan to vote or cannot vote, and 3.1% did not know (Figure 11). After excluding those who do not plan on voting or cannot vote, 49.9% of respondents would vote for Donald Trump, and 39.4% would vote for Kamala Harris. Among registered voters after excluding those who do not plan on voting or cannot vote, the support for Donald Trump was slightly lower, with 48.2% of respondents supporting him and 43.2% supporting Kamala Harris (Figure 12).
So the five percent margin assumes none of the “don’t plan to vote” respondents vote anyway, that none of the “not registered” registered after getting polled, that the undecideds don’t break for Trump, or that any of the “can’t vote” respondents actually can. This also wasn’t a traditional presidential poll but rather a general statewide opinion poll done by a university so make of that what you will.