2y ago

Where will the tourists go? Europe’s winning and losing destinations due to the climate crisis

english.elpais.com Where will the tourists go? Europe’s winning and losing destinations due to the climate crisis

Analysis by European Commission experts places parts of Spain among those regions where the number of overnight stays will fall the most with the advance of global warming. Cyprus and Greece will suffer the largest drop

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- Yeah, I'd be quite surprised to see large increases in tourism anywhere in a +4° world...
  
  Antarctica and the north pole will likely see a significant rise in tourists/refugees, no?

We need to curb mass tourism, not displace it.

Imagine traffic jams to get into Scandinavia while the Côte d'Azur burns.
- I'm picturing the people sipping their martinis in the Arctic circle
  
  I think there will be a time where the polar circles are going to be the only habitable place on earth
- That's pretty close to this summer

Hopefully the tourists stay within reasonable distance of their home and avoid planes, flying/international travel is way too destructive to be so normalized.
~~Like taking a round trip from Copenhagen to Tokyo and back emits something like 7x the amount of CO2 a typical danish person emits in a whole year.~~
- I totally agree with your statement, however, the data seems wrong. A Copenhagen-Tokyo roundtrip emits 2.7t of CO2 (myclimate.org) and the per capita emissions of Denmark are 5t of CO2 per year. So the trip amounts to half the yearly emissions, which is still significant though.
  Especially in the context of the article and Europe, flying is of course even worse, since many alternatives exist.
  Generally the per capita emissions should be around 0.6t to stay within the planetary limits. So yeah, flying really isn't great in any way.
  
  Ah my bad, you're right, seems the source I was looking at last time was incorrect, but yeah that's still a lot of CO2
- Europe is relatively small so there will be realistic alternatives to planes, like overnight trains (hopefully they become more mainstream)
  
  Yeah I hope we get a lot more high speed trains!

I kind of like, how the EU predigts that Hamburgs city marketing remains totally shit, even when it is in the region most profitting from climate change tourism. Seriously Hamburg gets half as many international tourist as Krakow, which has half the population. Even Düsseldorf gets more tourists and it is a third of the size and honestly significantly uglier then Hamburg.
- Düsseldorf and Hamburg are popular for very different reasons though. When I went to Düsseldorf it was because of Little Tokyo. I wanted to eat some nice Japanese food.
  When I go to Hamburg it's because it is a beautiful big city but I usually go for nothing in particular.
- I just feel like Hamburg is not well located for tourism. Düsseldorf/Köln/Bonn are at least very close to France, Holland, Belgium, etc
  
  Hamburg is also quite rich. It used to have the same GDP as Berlin with half the population. Hence fostering tourism wasn't a priority. But I guess with the harbor losing value (the harbor is quite a bit inland and the river Elbe that leads to it isn't deep enough if ships continue to get larger) and Berlin actually becoming the largest German economic center, that's going to change.

Bad news for spain, they rely heavily on tourism

On the plus side, maybe this will be a bit more economic incentive for the countries affected not to drag their heels on climate control.
- There's only 10% of the world's population living in the southern hemisphere so that's not a big surprise.
- Other aspects of climate change have massive economic consequences too, but most are relatively long term and thus easy to ignore.
  
  Exactly.

Also I’m not sure this is factoring the appetite of tourists for the mosquitoes that define much of the summer months in the Nordics
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DEET

The Italy shoe is turning into a Louboutin.

I like that an increase of 4 degrees has a large increase in the Dutch beaches.. but they would be mostly sea probably
- In a battle of man vs sea, never bet against the Dutch.

The region that would benefit most is West Wales, in the United Kingdom, where there would be increases of almost 16%.
Huh.

33 comments