Bulletins and News Discussion from February 12th to February 18th, 2024 - The Prodigal Failson - COTW: Brazil
Image is of Brazilian chuds storming the National Congress building in opposition to Lula winning the election, on January 8th, 2023, in their remarkably even shittier version of the January 6th events in America.
Bolsonaro, who is in the tragic category of pro-US South American leaders who are so awful and uncharismatic that even they can't get the US to help them overthrow a democratically elected left-ish government, has recently been facing that most elusive of things in this current world order: consequences for his actions. Bolsonaro and his friends have been under investigation by the police, and his passport has now been seized, meaning he is unable to leave the country. Alongside the man himself, the leader of the Liberal Party, Valdemar Costa Neto, has been caught up in searches and investigations. Brazilian Army Colonel Bernardo Correa Neto, a former aide to Bolsonaro, was very recently arrested upon his return to Brazil from the US, as well as another colonel.
Lol, they are really fucked. Iirc, this is a municipal election year in Brazil, Bolsonaro can't campaign publicly, he can't promote his candidates. The leader of his party is currently in prison. And even if he is released from prison, they are forbidden to communicate with each other. The high-ranking members of the Liberal Party are pretty much fucked because they can't communicate with each other and getting support from Bolsonaro could be very bad, as left-wing candidates will exploit the fact that Bolsonaro will probably be imprisoned for planning a coup.
The FBI seems to have concluded its investigation into Bolsonaro's money laundering scheme in the US and handed over its findings to the Brazilian Federal Police, I don't think Bolsonaro can even go to the US anymore, or any other country. And it could get even funnier, there is a very small chance of the Liberal Party being banned and all its seats in congress and the senate being transferred to other politicians, many of whom, even if they are conservative, will be much more favorable to Lula's social and economic reforms, as it has been proven that Bolsonaro used the party to finance the coup.
The Country of the Week is Brazil! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section. Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war. Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language. https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one. https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts. https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel. https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator. https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps. https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language. https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language. https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses. https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Preparing for war
New “Operations Plan for Germany”: Expansion of “civil defense” called for in the event of a possible armed conflict
full article
Anyone who wants to wage war not only needs an army, but also has to ensure that relevant parts of the population support the armed conflict. One way to at least make this approval more likely is to give the impression that the protection of the civilian population would be guaranteed in the event of war. Similar to upgrading, it also makes tactical sense to create the idea that there is a deficiency beforehand so that appropriate measures become more plausible.
In this sense, the deputy chairwoman of the Union parliamentary group, Andrea Lindholz (CSU), said on Monday and told the dpa: "Germany is shockingly poorly positioned in the area of civil defense." Federal Interior Minister Nancy Faeser (SPD) is primarily responsible. Leon Eckert (Alliance 90/The Greens) explained: "Anyone who wants to protect human lives in the event of war must significantly strengthen civil protection in this changed security situation." Unfortunately, this message "has not yet reached everywhere despite the turning point" - an indication that rearmament is only is an aspect of preparation for war.
The debate about protecting the population in the event of war takes place in the context of the new “Germany Operational Plan” (Oplan). In this, for the first time since the end of the Cold War, the Federal Republic of Germany receives a "defense plan" for a possible war (against Russia) with detailed specifications for military and civilian authorities. The Bundeswehr's Territorial Command (TFK) is supposed to complete the "operational plan" for the "overall state defense of the federal territory" by the end of March. The protection of the population and the defense of the infrastructure as well as the protection of a NATO troop deployment are explicitly part of the preparations.
While disaster control in Germany is a state responsibility, the federal government is responsible for protecting the population during war. Due to the enormous importance of involving the civilian population in a future war, the Federal Ministry of the Interior and the federal states are listed in the plan as a “second pillar” alongside the Bundeswehr. A spokeswoman for the Federal Ministry of the Interior confirmed to the dpa that the ministry and the subordinate Federal Office for Civil Protection and Disaster Relief closely monitored the creation of the "operational plan". The fact that there can be no talk of “protecting the civilian population” due to the immense destructive potential of an actual war between NATO and Russia or China is another matter.
Lindholz also called for the establishment of a civilian personnel reserve. In recent decades, the Bundeswehr's reserves have often been used in official and disaster relief, said the head of the planning department at the TFK, Frank Fähnrich, at an event organized by the "Bundestag Reservist Working Group" last October. In the future, however, it will primarily serve the “defense of critical infrastructure”. Because military strategists expect that in the event of war a large proportion of regular Bundeswehr soldiers will fight on the Eastern Front, some activities will have to be taken over by “homeland security regiments,” which primarily consist of reservists. So you have to rely on support on the home front. And what applies to professional soldiers applies even more to the civilian population, parts of which first have to be reacquainted with the topic of "defense of the fatherland" due, among other things, to the general conscription that was suspended in 2011: Anyone who wants to become a master should practice early.
Is any segment of the youth actually motivated enough to engage in "civil defense"? The pensioners?
Every other euronazi shithole has been screeching and moaning, hemming and hawing about creating some variant of this lately. How many years has a Russian invasion been imminent by now?
Guess your correct in your assumption. According to this poll they need to start ramping up their anti Russia rhetoric again as people don't seem to be that interested anymore.
Some excerpts:
Respondents fear climate-change-driven migration more than the security threat posed by Russia, according to a fresh survey for the Munich Security Conference (MSC) published on Monday (12 February).
European voters are also increasingly worried by “migration through war and climate change” and by the threat of radical Islamic terrorism, according to the latest Munich Security Index survey, which canvassed 12,000 people in the G7 countries, as well as Brazil, India, China, and South Africa.
The survey, which focused on 32 perceived risks, found that those threats are now viewed as even more important than a security threat posed by Moscow, which ranks fourth overall this year.
In last year’s survey, Russia’s war on Ukraine had been rated as the biggest threat to global security, particularly in the G7 countries.
While Russia was still the top risk for five G7 countries last year, only UK and Japanese citizens still consider it so this year, according to the survey. German citizens now only see Russia as the seventh greatest concern and Italians see it as the 12th.