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DeepSeek might not be as disruptive as claimed, firm reportedly has 50,000 Nvidia GPUs and spent $1.6 billion on buildouts

Source report:

"DeepSeek Debates: Chinese Leadership On Cost, True Training Cost, Closed Model Margin Impacts" by SemiAnalysis

DeepSeek took the world by storm. For the last week, DeepSeek has been the only topic that anyone in the world wants to talk about. As it currently stands, DeepSeek daily traffic is now much higher than Claude, Perplexity, and even Gemini.

But to close watchers of the space, this is not exactly “new” news. We have been talking about DeepSeek for months (each link is an example). The company is not new, but the obsessive hype is. SemiAnalysis has long maintained that DeepSeek is extremely talented and the broader public in the United States has not cared. When the world finally paid attention, it did so in an obsessive hype that doesn’t reflect reality.

We want to highlight that the narrative has flipped from last month, when scaling laws were broken, we dispelled this myth, now algorithmic improvement is too fast and this too is somehow bad for Nvidia and GPUs.

14 comments
  • While it does seem like DeepSeek has made some important achievements in terms of compute efficiency (although I still remain sceptical), it's funny how so many people (including some in the media) uncritically believed their initial claims.

    A similar situation to all the astro surfing around users switching to [competing Chinese social network] with respect to the possible US TikTok ban. I don't deny that this may have happened on some level, but it's clear that the internet is an easy avenue for botting and creating fake sentiment.

14 comments