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There is speculation AI may have already reached the point it has begun recursively self-improving on a path to AGI.

www.lesswrong.com Implications of the inference scaling paradigm for AI safety — LessWrong

Scaling inference With the release of OpenAI's o1 and o3 models, it seems likely that we are now contending with a new scaling paradigm: spending mor…

Implications of the inference scaling paradigm for AI safety — LessWrong
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