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Bulletins and News Discussion from December 2nd to December 8th, 2024 - May A Hundred Hazel Flowers Bloom - COTW: Russia

Image is of one of the six salvos of the Oreshnik missile striking Ukraine.

The Oreshnik is an intermediate-range ballistic missile that appears to split into six groups of six submunitions as it strikes its target, giving it the appearance of a hazel flower. It can travel at ten times the speed of sound, and cannot be intercepted by any known Western air defense system, and thus Russia can strike and conventionally destroy any target anywhere in Europe within 20 minutes. Two weeks ago, Russia used the Oreshnik to strike the Yuzhmash factory in Ukraine, particularly its underground facilities, in which ballistic missiles are produced.

Despite the destruction caused by the missile, and its demonstration of Russian missile supremacy over the imperial core, various warmongering Western countries have advocated for further reprisals against Russia, with Ukraine authorized by the US to continue strikes. Additionally, the recent upsurge of the fighting in Syria is no doubt connected to trying to stretch Russia thin, as well as attempting to isolate Hezbollah and Palestine from Iran; how successful this will have ended up being will depend on the outcome of the Russia and Syrian counteroffensive. Looking at recent military history, it will take many months for the Russians and Syrians to retake a city that was lost in about 48 hours.

Even in the worst case scenario for Hezbollah, it's notable that Ansarallah has had major success despite being physically cut off from the rest of the Resistance and under a blockade, and it has defeated the US Navy in its attempts to open up the strait. Israel has confirmed now that their army cannot even make significant territorial gains versus a post-Nasrallah, post-pager terrorist attack Hezbollah holding back its missile strike capabilities. In 2006, it also could not defeat a much less well-armed Hezbollah and was forced to retreat from Lebanon.

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2.2K comments

  • Just want to point out that whoever the person is that killed the healthcare CEOscum absolutely knew what they were doing. Today is the tree lighting in Rockefeller Center, so there's a fuck ton of tourists out. They knew that the best way to get around the city is on bike, which they used to flee the scene right into Central Park. You can get there way faster on bike than anything else. And they knew that in Central Park, specifically in the forested area of the Ramble, there are few cameras and many places to hide where they could change clothes and then blend back in with the massive crowds hitting the city today. Also apparently used a suppressed pistol, and knew exactly which door the CEO would be coming out of/when to be there. Impressive. I don't think it's outside the realm of possibility that this assassin gets away with this. Trump assassins take notes.

  • Hey all, long time lurker, first time commenter. I used to spam up my geopolitics addiction-brained "effort posts" back on r/genzedong but finally decided to leave R*ddit after seeing how large parts of the site turned on LGBT as a scapegoat after the US election.

    Just wanted to post some thoughts on the Syrian tragedy. It’s personal to me in that back when I was a little snot shitlib teenager, I used to volunteer for Amnesty International to fundraise and spread awareness for the “heroic Syrian rebels” fighting for democracy against the “Assad regime” (aka extort white-guilt tithes from schoolmate parents and propagandize for the US State Department). Of course, then Al-Qaeda/ISIS came along with more rebrands than Blackwater, United Fruit and the "formerly known as Twitter" company combined and showed everyone who cared to pay attention whom exactly the “Syrian opposition” really were. Ever since becoming a leftist and a Marxist-Leninist, I’ve tried to keep up with this conflict as best I can and so since I’ve been lurking for a while now and saw some people lost on the complexities of this 13 year long humanitarian catastrophe, so I'll try to fill in some information about the conflict insofar as I understand it. My sources are primarily A.B. Abrams' two books “World War in Syria” and “Atrocity Propaganda Fabrication and its Consequences” (Both on Z-Library and Libgen, both fantastic works that I highly recommend, we seem to be getting an outpouring of actually anti-imperialist published books nowadays when we used to have to scroll through random-ass substacks and twitter threads just to get any information)

    Part 1: Target Syria: Origins of the Syrian Civil War

    As can be expected, nothing about the “Arab Spring” which led to the outbreak of the conflict in March 2011 was organic. Being notorious self-plagiarists, this was the same playbook the West always uses: taking advantage of strained socio-economic material conditions within a designated adversary's society and funneling that discontent into the direction of regime change.

    The origins of Western motives for Syrian regime change:

    • Anti-Imperialist Geopolitics: For such a “small” country, Syria has been the bastion of West Asian anti-imperialism during the Cold War. Since the dissolution of the United Arab Republic after Nasser’s successor Sadat swung Egypt’s foreign policy away from the Soviet Union and towards the comprador role it diligently upholds today under Sisi, Syria "quickly emerged as the primary opponent of the imposition of Western hegemony in the Middle East.” After the collapse of the USSR, Syria began its alignment with the Axis of Resistance (Iran, Hezbollah) and with the DPRK for its Hwasung missiles to counter Israel. Later, this alignment expanded to Russia and China, hosting Russia’s sole Mediterranean naval base and signing onto China’s BRI.
    • Syrian Secularism as Islamist target: The naked alignment of Al-Qaeda and ISIS with the US in Syria at the present moment, closely examined, is actually a long continuation of Western ties with the Islamist groups in the 20th century Cold War that "received considerable support from NATO member states, enabling them to more effectively target a number of Soviet-aligned and neutral governments.” In 1979, the Muslim Brotherhood targetted Syria with a Islamist uprising that occupied the city of Hama, killing over 1000 Syrian personnel before the restoration of the city. This is the origin of the West’s Islamist underlings’ particular hatred for the Damascus government and the lightbulb moment for the West in how they could be used against Syria. Following 1979, "Israeli and Western experts would notably highlight the presence of radical Islamist elements as an asset to undermine Damascus which “would not be difficult to operate again” and offered “increased U.S. opportunities for destabilization activities if this form of pressure proves necessary.””
    • Pipeline Diplomacy: Its closer relationship with Iran in the post-USSR period led to Assad deciding to reject a Qatari oil pipeline project to Europe in 2009 that would have led from Qatar’s North Field through Saudi Arabia-Jordan-Syria-Turkey in favor of a Iran-Iraq-Syria pipeline that would ship out via the Mediterranean through the Syrian port and oil refinery of Baniyas in Tartous Governorate without the need for Turkey. Tellingly, the major regional sponsors of Syria’s regime change in the 2010s became precisely those same countries in the Qatari project that Assad sunk. As America's imminent Healthcare Wormbrained Genius RFK Jr. once wrote for Politico:

      Secret cables and reports by the U.S., Saudi and Israeli intelligence agencies indicate that the moment Assad rejected the Qatari pipeline, military and intelligence planners quickly arrived at the consensus that fomenting a Sunni uprising in Syria to overthrow the uncooperative Bashar Assad was a feasible path to achieving the shared objective of completing the Qatar/Turkey gas link […] the CIA began funding opposition groups in Syria. It is important to note that this was well before the Arab Spring-engendered uprising against Assad

    • Syrian sovereignty: Ultimately, Syria’s stance as a sovereign West Asian country unbeholden to the West just like Hussein's Iraq and Gaddafi's Libya was the primary Western rationale. Once again, it goes to show that Western hegemonic chauvinism is the root of it all. I’ll just let Abrams conclude this section:

      While there were multiple converging casus belli which led the Syrian state to be targeted for destabilisation and eventual overthrow by the Western Bloc and its partners, one common factor underlying every rationale for targeting Syria was the country’s position as an independent state under a single ruling party which was outside the Western sphere of influence. All states of this nature, from the Soviet Union and Ba’athist Iraq to Cuba, Afghanistan (pre-1992) and North Korea among many others, have been targeted for various economic, military and information warfare efforts. The final goal of these efforts has been to bring about their downfall, placing Western soldiers permanently on their soil and placing their territories and populations firmly within the Western sphere of influence. All reasons for targeting Syria are in some way consequences of this one single fact.

  • It's pretty wild that Reddit is universally celebrating this guy's death. Like yeah no shit but just a couple years ago you would get banned for saying whatever

    bit the dirt that month deserved it. Dare I say it, shit is accelerating.

  • Libs' favorite Feel Good Stories: 98 YEARS OLD lady picked up a JOB at MC DONALD'S to pay for her RENT. Here's her EMOTIONAL story.

    My favorite Feel Good Stories: Man KILLS CEO in DOWNTOWN Manhattan and ESCAPES. He left some MESSAGES behind.

  • For everyone that is confused why me and other Syrians might be happy about this:

    A stagnant, oppressive and expired regime has finally been kicked out after strangling us since 1971. Yeah yeah the geopolitical implication and all that, but we're human in the end and there's an emotional weight in seeing the omniscient Baath regime with all the fucking Hafez and Bashar statues and pictures get stomped on and thrown in the trash. Let us have this at least, these fuckers have killed or tortured a young man from every single Syrian family.

  • The CEO killing is being called a targeted killing, but the MSM taking the opportunity to scaremonger and make this about the safety of the general public. There's probably more people walking the streets that have been fucked over by healthcare corporations. Pretty sure they aren't going to be the targets of a hit or premeditated murder.

  • Absolutely pissing myself laughing. This propaganda telegram I follow which I've long believed has some feds in it has a moderator who has been telling people he's Swiss for years now. Constantly posts racist, hateful and homophobic shit in a bid to get me to quit the group because they don't like my presence there constantly undercutting stuff.

    Anyway dude posted a voice message to the chat (quite common on telegram) without thinking about it and the dude has a yank accent so now I call him the fed.

    This isn't news per se but as it's one of the fashy places I get shit from it's tangentially related

  • Zelensky says that the country's army does not have the strength to recover Crimea and that he will have to make “diplomatic efforts”. This is his first statement indicating that he would cede territory to Russia.

  • Israel is now starting to sell the story for why they need to invade Syria

    https://tankie.tube/w/nzPuRscsdJmWj6G9E6BgUi

    They intend to cross the Golan Heights (which currently exists as a buffer zone) because they say they need a buffer zone. It's an excuse to take Syrian land.

    Greater Israel is their goal. Has always been their goal. They will never stop.

  • this assassination is one of the most threathing things that has happend to the US Oligarchy in quite some time imo.

    it happend in the middle of New York , he got away.

    a unrelenting Order was shown to be helpless and unprotected & and somewhere "he" still roams..

  • China's BYD to produce its EVs in Brazil. “This will be the largest and most advanced electric vehicle production plant outside of China”. 300,000 vehicles are expected to be produced per year by the end of 2026, primarily to supply the Brazilian and South American markets.

  • lol extremely chad move if he just left the phone on purpose just to fuck with them/waste their time

    Edit: if they do manage to unlock the phone I hope there’s literally nothing on there but hundreds of pig poop balls images

  • And just like that, the Baath government in Syria is no more. I'm very emotional right now, many mixed feelings, one part of me is very happy and relieved, another part knows that some American and Israeli ghouls are sharing my happiness, which makes me question that happiness. There's much to dissect in the events of these last 10 days, we'll do that slowly and carefully over the next weeks. But wow, I can't believe that this even happened. 14 years, what was even the point of all this pain and destruction? Congrats to Jolani, he has cemented his place in the history books as the conqueror of Syria, he did what Alloush, Baghdadi and countless others couldn't do. Assad goes into the trashcan of history, another failson goes.

    And for the last time:

    Who must go? 😔

  • A little report from Aleppo, I called my aunt yesterday. She stayed in Aleppo, more specifically Hayy Salah Al Deen in the western parts of Aleppo. Life is pretty normal according to her, the Jihadists are actually behaving well in their interactions with civilians. Shops are open, but there's some confusion about currency and prices, because fighters from Idlib mainly carry Turkish Liras instead of Syrian Liras, so all the prices are unstable and people are confused about what to do with their money. They distributed free bread yesterday, which was neatly organised. Electricity has somehow gotten better.

  • Christ, what a miserable state of affairs. Assad has always been a piece of shit, but I cannnot imagine how awful things are going to get once again in Syria without his regime at least nominally committed to multiethnic harmony. And the Axis of Resistance? What a joke tbh, I'm almost glad Nasrallah isn't here to see this. Iran is just watching all its pieces wiped from the board, for what? Some vague hope that Trump of all people is going to dial back sanctions? Disgusting. I hope I'm wrong, but grim days seem to be ahead.

  • Hezbollah: Following the repeated violations initiated by the Israeli of the cessation of hostilities agreement announced to come into effect at dawn on Wednesday, November 27, 2024, which take various forms including firing on civilians and airstrikes in various parts of Lebanon, which led to the deaths of citizens and the injury of others, in addition to the continued violation of Lebanese airspace by hostile Israeli aircraft reaching the capital Beirut, and since the reviews of the relevant authorities to stop these violations did not succeed, the Islamic Resistance carried out an initial warning defensive response this evening, Monday, targeting the Ruwaysat al-Alam site belonging to the Israeli army in the occupied Lebanese hills of Kafr Shuba

  • Fucking tired of hearing about the fucking hostages. In particular these past few days with the video of the hostage being released by Hamas. Guy is a fucking IDF soldier, he willingly signed up for this shit for the glory of being a colonizer. And now they're banging on about another soldier who actually got what he deserved on Oct. 7th, but everyone thought was being held hostage.

    I hate how the media treats these genocidal freaks with more humanity than the all of the innocent Palestinians that are being systemically exterminated by Israel.

  • I'm starting to believe that there is a god out there, but that god is an evil god. That god is a god that not only allowed white supremacy, genocide, and colonialism to reign victorious for centuries, they actively supported them and blessed the perpetrators. They are the same god that decided the Al-Aqsa flood would not dislodge Israel after a year, but Israel-friendly terrorists take over an entire country in less than two weeks. A god that deserves to be overthrown, and their followers punished for their transgressions and crimes against humanity.

  • I don't feel anything about the collapse of the SAA in Hama and possibly further. It's a rotting government, even a particularly vulnerable minority like the Ismaili Shias in Salamiyah are seeing the writing on the wall and handed over their town to HTS today. People in the left anti-imperialist camp are missing too much context in their steadfast defence of Assad and the government. Yeah most minorities would rather live under Assad, that's obvious, but it's frankly a horrible government and most people are just indifferent at this point. I expected horrors to be committed when HTS took Aleppo, but they are behaving better than the SAA and NDF thugs so far honestly. It's very hard to be motivated to fight for the rotting Baath government, what does a vision of the future even look like at this point? Back to 2010, where you get arrested if you get caught praying when you have lunch break? It's psychologically over for the Baath government, their last 15 years have ranged from mediocre to disastrous in people's minds, and the natural reaction is that people either openly welcome HTS or become indifferent towards HTS.

  • Imagine if this was a sign that American anarchists are growing teeth again. There was once a time in the early 1900’s when calling someone an Anarchist in the US was the equivalent of calling someone a Tankie today.

    It would be nice to see a mass purge of NATO-leftist pansies and get some real muscle back into the movement.

  • Amnesty late as aways

    A report from Amnesty International alleges that Israel’s war against Hamas in the Gaza Strip constitutes the crime of genocide under international law, the first such determination by a major human rights organisation in the 14-month-old conflict.

    The 32-page report examining events in Gaza between October 2023 to July 2024, published on Thursday, found that Israel had “brazenly, continuously and with total impunity … unleashed hell” on the strip’s 2.3 million population, noting that the “atrocity crimes” against Israelis by Hamas on 7 October 2023, which triggered the war, “do not justify genocide”.

    Israel has “committed prohibited acts under the Genocide Convention, namely killing, causing serious bodily or mental harm, and deliberately inflicting on Palestinians in Gaza conditions of life calculated to bring about their physical destruction” with the “specific intent to destroy Palestinians” in the territory, the report said.

    It marks the first time Amnesty has alleged the crime of genocide during an ongoing conflict, and builds on a March report by the UN special rapporteur for Palestine that concluded “there are reasonable grounds to believe” Israel was committing genocide against Palestinians.

    “Our damning findings must serve as a wake-up call: this is genocide and it must stop now,” Agnès Callamard, the group’s secretary general, said in a news conference on Wednesday.

    Amnesty cited the deliberate obstruction of aid and power supplies together with “massive damage, destruction and displacement”, leading to the collapse of water, sanitation, food and healthcare systems, in what it called a “pattern of conduct” within the context of the occupation and blockade of Gaza.

    “We did not necessarily start out thinking we would come to this conclusion. We knew there was a risk of genocide, as the international court of justice said,” Budour Hassan, Amnesty’s Israel and occupied Palestinian territories researcher, told the Guardian. “When you join the dots together, the totality of the evidence, it is not just violations of international law. This is something deeper.”

    The main allegations in the report are: 

     undefined
            The unprecedented scale and magnitude of the military offensive, which has caused death and destruction at a speed and level unmatched in any other 21st-century conflict;

    Intent to destroy, after considering and discounting arguments such as Israeli recklessness and callous disregard for civilian life in the pursuit of Hamas;

    Killing and causing serious bodily or mental harm in repeated direct attacks on civilians and civilian infrastructure, or deliberately indiscriminate attacks; and

    Inflicting conditions of life calculated to bring about physical destruction, such as destroying medical infrastructure, the obstruction of aid, and repeated use of arbitrary and sweeping “evacuation orders” for 90% of the population to unsuitable areas.

    As an occupying power, Israel is legally obliged to provide for the needs of the occupied population, Kristine Beckerle, an adviser to Amnesty’s Middle East and North Africa team, said on Wednesday. She described Israel’s May offensive on Rafah, until then the last place of relative safety in the strip, as a major turning point when it came to establishing intent.

    “[Israel] had made Rafah the main aid point, and it knew civilians would go there. The ICJ ordered them to stop and they went ahead anyway,” she said. “Rafah was key.”

    At least 47 people including four children were killed in air strikes across Gaza on Tuesday, according to health officials in the territory, including at least 21 who were sheltering in tent camp housing displaced people near the city of Khan Younis. The Israeli military said it had targeted Hamas militants.

    Amnesty has called on the UN to enforce a ceasefire, impose targeted sanctions on Israeli and top Hamas officials, and for western governments such as the US, the UK and Germany to stop providing security assistance and selling arms to Israel.

    The rights group has also urged the international criminal court, which last month issued arrest warrants for the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, and the former defence minister Yoav Gallant, to add genocide to the list of war crimes it is investigating.

    Finally, it called for the unconditional release of civilian hostages and for “Hamas and other Palestinian armed groups responsible for the crimes committed on 7 October to be held to account”.

    The report, You Feel Like You Are Subhuman’: Israel’s Genocide Against Palestinians in Gaza, is likely to be met with outrage in Israel and generate accusations of antisemitism. Several legal experts and genocide studies scholars contend that the 7 October attack was also genocidal.

    The Holocaust led to the creation of the Jewish state and the Geneva conventions, which codified and outlawed genocide as a punishable crime. Both initiatives were the international community’s “never again” response to the horrors inflicted on European Jews by the Nazis in world war two.

    In its conclusion, the report says that Amnesty “recognises that there is resistance and hesitancy among many in finding genocidal intent when it comes to Israel’s conduct in Gaza”, which has “impeded justice and accountability”.

    “Amnesty International concedes that identifying genocide in armed conflict is complex and challenging, because of the multiple objectives that may exist simultaneously. Nonetheless, it is critical to recognise genocide, and to insist that war can never excuse it,” it states.

    Amnesty said the report was based on fieldwork, interviews with 212 people, including victims, witnesses and healthcare workers in Gaza, analysis of extensive visual and digital evidence, and more than 100 statements from Israeli government and military actors it said amounted to “dehumanising discourse”. It also used video and photo evidence of soldiers committing or celebrating war crimes.

    Israel’s acts in Gaza were examined “in their totality, taking into account their recurrence and simultaneous occurrence, and both their immediate impact and their cumulative and mutually reinforcing consequences”, it said. Findings were shared “extensively” on multiple occasions with Israeli authorities, the group added, but were not met with responses.

    Thursday’s publication builds on the London-based rights group’s previous bold positions on Israel’s occupation of the Palestinian territories. In 2022, Amnesty joined Human Rights Watch and the respected Israeli NGO B’Tselem in issuing a major report accusing Israel of apartheid, as part of a growing movement to redefine the Israeli-Palestinian conflict as a struggle for equal rights rather than a territorial dispute. Israeli politicians called for the report to be withdrawn, alleging antisemitism.

  • This coverage is so funny because you can tell they're trying not to frame things like this but all this does is humanize him and make him seem normal.

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