Russian ruble

They'll just suspend trading again, likely until trump lifts sanctions. Value can't fall if it can't be compared in the market.
- Lost like 7 percent today (or percentage points, funnily about the same here).
  
  Whoa do "percent" and "percentage points" actually refer to different things?
- But currencies aren't traded only on one exchange, but all over, surely you can't suspend trading for currencies?
  
  They can restrict official trading, I thought they already did something like that before, maybe not. Besides, market is mostly made by large players, what people can trade in the banks will make less of an impact.

They'll catch up over the next few months as we see a sharp decline in the value of the US dollar and Trump ending sanctions against them.
- A couple people are saying things like that in this thread. Obviously not everyone is an economics expert. This really started crashing like 2 weeks ago, and they are very near a point of no return. What I'm saying is, they don't have months. This is kind of already game over.
  
  Tbh I don't know shit about shit. I was just making a flippant prediction that's more about America than Russia.
- Only if they actually get a peace deal. Otherwise Russia still has EU sanctions and a war going on.
- Well, we can still track the "value" of the Ruble against the Euro.
  
  Hasn't the russian central bank closed all foreign currency transactions? That was what I understood (source Joe blogs).

More like russian rubble , amirite?
They're called low hanging fruit for a reason
- Shit, I just wanted to make that joke 😂
  Guess I am not the only one.

I'll never understand how economies work, I just assume it's all imaginary money.
- All moneyis imaginary. Economics works by allowing some people with a lot of imaginary money to exploit (the planet and) people that depends on them by giving miniscule amounts of imaginary money, just enough to survive.
- You're basically right anyway.
  
  Speaking basically they are right.
  \ Speaking at medium understanding they are wrong.
  \ Speaking at advanced understanding they are absolutely correct.
- Effectively, no one can buy Russian goods so no one wants to buy Russia currency.
  As such, it has low value as everyone is trying to get rid of something that is worthless to them, and a willing to accept a lower price to do so.
  Or using high school economics- lots of suppliers, low number of buyers, value drops.
- Think of it as demand, right now people want Russian money less.
- Speculative economics is literally definitionally imaginary. In this case, it's because of real factors with Russia's GDP - the massive amount of trade embargoes on Russia meaning they can't really import or export a lot of the stuff they would have made money on, as well as them grinding all their young men (who would otherwise be working) into a pulp.

Maybe I should convert some freedom dollars to rubles and wait for the orange man to make them valuable again in the next few months....
- Well this is the most wall st bets sort of thing I have seen on lemmy.
  Why would you think anything will go up under orange man? The guy who is kinda famous for being an isolationist? The guy using tariffs to wage economic war on the USs closest allies?
  I mean with the same sort of logic, buy South African Rands.
  
  If you trade your USD for other currencies and the value of the dollar goes down against those currencies your get more dollars when you sell those other currencies for dollars. Thus this means that the value of the other currencies went up.
  You get around 100 Rubles for every US dollar let’s say you buy 1000 Rubles with 10 dollars, if the value of the dollar goes to 50 Rubles (meaning the value of the Rubles went up) then you trade those 1000 Rubles back to dollars you’d get 20 US dollars.
  
  The "them" in the comment you replied to, I think it refers to the rubles, specifically relative to the original dollars.
- Heeeeeey.
  This is how folks get rich right here. Crazy ideas like this.
  Well, that or they lose everything. Let me know if you do it so I can cheer you on.
- That might be a viable strategy if those were the only two currencies. (But even then, the freedom dollars are still likely to stay in better shape - since the USA is not currently an international pariah or financing a failed invasion.)
- Seems kind of a no-brainer if that's what you actually believe is going to happen. It's one thing to say one believes something but I'm way more convinced when they're actually willing to bet money for it.
  
  I don't think you can just get Rubles with all the sanctions.
  
  "put your money where your mouth is"
- What's your horizon / timeline? If you can wait 20 years it may payoff handsomely. But who knows how the world is gonna go until then...
  
  Assuming Russia even exists in 20 years...
  It probably will, but it's also probably a stupid thing to gamble on. There are safer bets.

I know we all want to believe Russia's economy is way worse than ever and almost back in the stone age by now, but if you look at the long term, unfortunately it's not that dramatic...
- You are both correct. A decade is a perfectly acceptable time frame by which to judge forex, however the two decade window fills in additional context.
  
  Perfect crop, comrade 🤡
  
  So... basically when Crimea got stolen? I forget if that was also US sanctions, my selections memory remembers we were too soft on them back then.
  
  ☝️
  
  Yeah but this clearly isn't as a consequence of the war
- A ten year steady decline in the currency of a "world power" is no big deal. 👍
  
  Yeah, the message I get is that a 10% one-day decline doesn't look like much on the tail end of 70% losses. Worthless paper is worthless.
  
  Russia has the same economy as Italy. We take them only seriously because of their nuclear weapons.
  
  Actually, it's not. But it's not a world power either.
  And a large decline in a single day, smaller than that steady decline in a decade can be quite a big deal. Or can be nothing. Nobody knows.
  
  According to some social media bubbles, it should have dropped to 1/10 in the past 2 years.
- No fair you’re not allowed to provide context
- Perfect crop, comrade 🤡
  
  They cropped out the banana.
  
  "comrade"?
  Are you implying that Russia is in any way more communist or less capitalist than the US?
  Cause you'd be wrong.
- I mean, it being as low as it once was doesn't mean it is going great.
  
  An interest rate of 21% is also not an indication of things going great.
- Its true its not that dramatic on its own but this is after implementing a ton of measures to prop it up and cranking up the interest rate. The Ruble is struggling just to stand still and Putin is running out of ways to prop it up.
- It's pretty dramatic. Interest rates, currency in freefall, no exports, imports too expensive, morgages failing, salaries dropping, brain drain, ...
  It's pretty bad. They have some ways to go, the war chest is not empty, they can continue to print money they can hold of for another two years maybe.
  We will see what trump does. But they are in a world of hurt no matter what happens next.
- Your graph lacks any context. What is the Y axis?
  
  It literally says in the title of the chart it's rubles per dollar graphed over time
- Their economy was never good. Many more people living there than in Germany, much larger country than Germany.... And still economically worse than Germany...
  
  They have the same economy as Italy.
- I think I saw that they pumped interest up to like 21% at this point to control inflation. Could you imagine? It's like 7% here in the US and it has made me -very- content with my current vehicle and house.....

uh oh
some truble

What does it even matter if you can’t exchange it?
- All imported goods will be more expensive. So, like, everything.
  
  What does Russia import, and who outside of China and maybe India is importing stuff into Russia?
- You can exchange it over the counter and it also matters in relation to other currencies.

Fun fact: The ruble is worth only slightly more then shitcoin, I predict that soon it will overtake the ruble

That is terRuble
- The ruble is in trooble

That's the official trading rate. The black market rate is 1 ruble for an empty snickers wrapper.
- Reminds me of that bot I saw on one of the German speaking communities. Each time to say an ammount of money in Euro, it would then for example reply with "1 Euro, 2 DMark, 4 OstMark, 40 Ostmark auf dem Schwarzmarkt". ("1 Euro used to be 2 German Mark, used to be 4 East German Mark, and 40 East German Mark on the black market")
- I thought it was yogurt tops. Damn you inflation!!!!

Just a little bit lower and it will be cheaper than the toilet paper it's made from, as it should be.

Any indication of what changed?
- It’s probably not anything that recently changed. Economies are like rubber bands. They can stretch and run for a while in a deficit or without having proper upside cash flow while in a wartime economy, but eventually all of that has to come back. Russia has just had compounding economic problems (because they’re stupid) and now the hurting is starting to add up.
- Russia is running out of reserves. They managed to boost the Ruble once before when they forced their remaining trading partners to switch to it. Now that they bought up pretty much everything there is, the value will continue go down. I've seen a lot of people predict that this would happen in 2025, so this may be the beginning.
  
  What does this really mean in relation to a country that regularly pretends reality is malleable?
  We made a new currency, it's all good, we will pay you with it instead!
  
  Russia failed in forcing the trading partners to switch to rubel, but the Russian companies are forced to convert earnings into rubel. At the same time most big export companies in Russia are government owned(Gazprom, Rosneft and other resource exporters). So this way the Russian government gets more money, but it increases inflation.
- US announced new sanctions on Gazprombank. The free-fall is fear Russia will be unable to collect revenues for exported gas, which is a huge swathe of their GDP.
- The value of the ruble. It's right there in the graph.

It happened in 2022 and bounced back to 2 cents in just weeks. Trump comes back in weeks, I can see things looking better for Russia with Trump's presidency. I might be wrong, maybe the whole world is going to shit with Trump.

Holy shit 115 rubles per dollar?
That's like 0.0086 USD
Looks like BTC at this point haha
- BTC was $95k when I checked a few hours ago.

Is that more or less than the Roblox currency this time?
- after a quick search, 1 robux = 0.0125 usd, so just over a cent.

Prepare for trouble !
And make it ruble!

well I'm glad I didn't take action on my joke of "we should invest now while it's at 10 cents!" at the start of the war lol

haha

I'm in tears

Sanctions in full effect.

This would seem like insider trading related to nuclear retaliation decision (whether weak or strong) that has been made. I'm unaware of any economic news from Russia.

It hasn't been anywhere near a US cent in many years.
- The graph is right there...
  
  I was referring to the "no longer" bit. You have to go a very long way back to see a significant change. They were already in a very deep hole. They are just continuing to dig.

One time the homie showed me a meme of some stock performance charts and I just could not stop laughing