I’ve studied geopolitics all my life: climate breakdown is a bigger threat than China and Russia
I’ve studied geopolitics all my life: climate breakdown is a bigger threat than China and Russia
‘Risk’ analyses largely ignore the dangers of the climate crisis. Unless we wake up to them, they will soon outweigh all others, says Anatol Lieven of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft
‘Risk’ analyses largely ignore the dangers of the climate crisis. Unless we wake up to them, they will soon outweigh all others
The bigger problem is the politics of China and Russia believe the environment doesn't matter as long as money can be made, and then they spread that idea with propaganda and disinformation among social groups. If the climate is to be saved, they need to be stopped.
I'm pretty sure China's CO2 emissions are dropping at such a rate they'll drop below the US's within 10 years.
They do not need to be stopped.
That would be great, but I doubt that. If US emissions stay stable that would be a 6.6% annual drop over a decade. If Carbonbriefs anslysis of Bidens climate policy is correct and US polizicans do not touch that at all, we are talking 10% annual drops. So far Chinas emissions have been growing most years. They might have peaked right now, but I foubt, they drop this quickly.
But their ideas are different from ours!
(I know it's way more complicated than this, but you can negotiate with one of these two things)
Climate change isn't the enemy, it's the weapon
I wonder sometimes if the powerful people in the world actually do see it that way. I mean, I bet they figure they (and their children) can survive the climate apocalypse that will wipe out all the poors. So from that point of view, why not just make as much money as possible and let the world go to shit. They can just colonize Antarctica. Forget Mars. Just pretend you’re preparing to live on a planet hostile to life as a way to prepare for the future…
It’s bleak but I wouldn’t be surprised if all those billionaires are thinking along these lines.
I mean...Russia stands to benefit the most from climate change. Followed by Canada.
A few degrees centigrade and just about everything below the 40th parallel become unhabitable. That leaves the northern border states in the US. 350million of us gonna squeeze into Washington, Montana (fuck Idaho) N.Dakota Minnesota, NY, New Hampy, Verminion and Maine? IDK about that.
For the first 20 years of my life I thought we would step up and have a plan to avoid the worst. That next 20 years I was waiting for real coordination to be heard over the politicking. The last few years I realized we do have a plan. And that plan is the exact one I thought was waaaay too barbaric for modern times but now I'm convinced it's the only outcome we've planned for at all.
And that's to build the wall and drop a machine gun every 20ft. There's ~200million people between us and South America and the army has way way more ammunition stored up than just that.
So the choice of having the world's rich humbled down to the common man and we all degrowth or slaughter 200million people, America has chosen blood.