Bulletins and News Discussion from August 19th to August 25th, 2024 - Our Mountains, Our Treasures - Child of the Week: Hassan LargePenis

Image is a snapshot taken from the recent Hezbollah video "Our Mountains, Our Treasures", showcasing their extensive underground fortifications, supply lines, and weaponry.

iran can't keep doing this to me, they've gotta respond soon, right? I'm gonna run out of analysis about countries soon, oh god

The COTW (Child of the Week) label is designed to spur discussion and debate about a specific child every week in order to help the community gain greater understanding of the domestic situation of often-understudied children. If you've wanted to talk about the child or share your experiences, but have never found a relevant place to do so, now is your chance! However, don't worry - this is still a general news megathread where you can post about ongoing events from any child.

The Child of the Week is Hassan LargePenis! He is chad-and-cuck rater and general commenter @LargePenis@hexbear.net's son, born over a month ago. @Greenleaf@hexbear.net recommended I have him as the COTW for a week and I finally got around to it.

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1.5K comments

the betting markets are swinging back toward Trump:
https://electionbettingodds.com/
did the convention go badly or something?
- There was more Gaza protesting than they probably expected, and the party platform is doing nothing to address that. Coupled with the fact that it looks like there will be no ceasefire and Genocide Joe is unwilling to hold Israel to account, that means the war will probably continue up to the election, which is bad for Democrats. Also, the full time employment number just had the largest downwaeds correction in something like 15 years and the Sahm rule indicator was triggered earlier this month (recession indicator that has never really been wrong). There's a good chance we are either already in a recession or about to be in one.
- I'd attribute it more to the strong rumours online that RFK is about to drop out and endorse Trump to get a spot in Trump's hypothetical administration lmao
  
  I hope they put him in charge of something important like the FDA just so that he completely fucks it up and accelerates the collapse of this hell hole
  
  My bet is small businesses administration, Trump gave Vince McMahon's wife that spot last time. (Still objectively hilarious that the famously competition destroying monopolist WWE was in charge of that)
  
  Lol that's so on the nose
  
  Completely intentional
  
  RFK FDA - Brainworms for all
  
  I'll voat for that
  
  In what world was that not priced in this whole time?
  
  The odds on political bets are usually reflective of short term sentiment. I got 10/1 on Theresa May two weeks before she was elected Tory leader. The prices are driven by bets placed not by analysis, and bets are made by people reacting to whatever’s in the current news cycle.
- I think the zero-thoughts chuds are just dumbfounded to see radicals protesting the Democrats too. I don't think the situation has changed substantively.
- Just seems like a reversion to the mean. The odds swung too far to Harris and it's getting corrected now. Not really anything to pay attention to
- Bear in mind predictit has kamala at 56 cents and these betting markets are generally Europeans. Predictit is americans only and the community there already has a lot of right wing gamblers. She's holding steady on metaculus at 55% also; I think Europeans are a lot more skeptical of Americans not putting trump back in(I can understand this though lol)
  
  How good are the RCP odds?
- It’s just a good time to make bank on Kamala ig because the DNC will be out of the news by the end of the week

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