The federal Liberals are seeing a dive in popularity among younger voters, once the core of their base, falling 23 points behind the Conservatives by the end of August, according to new polling from Nanos Research.
The federal Liberals are seeing a dive in popularity among younger voters, once the core of their base, falling 23 points behind the Conservatives by the end of August, according to new polling from Nanos Research.
Anyone saying they'd vote Liberal instead of any other parry likely isn't a renter. Or you know, you could recognize that different people have different reasons for voting. Agree on your point about the NDP tho, that they're not making hay in the current socioeconomic context is pretty damning on party leadership.
Anyone saying they’d vote Liberal instead of any other parry likely isn’t a renter.
I rent. I vote Liberal. I'll do it again.
The rules are simple:
pick a party with a plan (a) that benefits canadians (b) that they can implement ( c) and with enough popularity to win an election (d).
repeat every election.
Except:
(a) isn't conservatives' strong point
(b) isn't conservatives' strong point
( c) isn't the greens' strong point
(d) isn't the oranges' strong point until we have better voting
It was liberal last time. Until the average IQ goes up and people realize the cons are still schlepping some trickle-down scam and stop perpetuating their mess, we won't get a better party into play.
Don't split the vote. Minority Red is better than cruel blues.
Honestly, we'd be in a better spot if Tom Mulcair was still in charge. Or, if Charlie Angus had won instead.
Singh is okay, if you're campaigning in the heady days of 2015-2019. He's not the person you want now; you want an empathic economic populist--the Canadian equivalent to Sanders, if you will.
Singh isn't that. Layton wasn't, either. Layton did well because the Bloc and Liberals both collapsed and Harper had a natural vote ceiling.
One more time for the people at the back: POLLS ARE VOTER MANIPULATION
Polls and their news coverage gives people the impression that the outcome has been decided and demoralize / frustrate voters. It's why Thug Ford won a majority in Ontario with just 17% of eligible voters.
SHOW THE FUCK UP TO VOTE, AND BRING THREE FRIENDS.
From housing affordability to climate change, Trudeau attempted to reach out directly to the demographic that’s helped him win past elections
Really? From the guys who
Did nothing about housing since 2015
Won't do anything about housing that might inconvenience developers and landlords in any way
Is talking all sorts of "studies" and "consultations" on housing...
...but bought a five billion dollar oil pipeline without having to go on any such consultative exercises.
Please. The Liberals know what they need to do to fix housing (regulation on investment & speculation, massive and direct public housing) and they know that it'll help the youth vote. They don't want to do it, though, because their donor class would scream and they--the Liberals--are allergic to direct public spending.
Until they can find a "market-based solution" they won't do a damn thing.
And anyone who looks to the conservatives when they're feeling "economically anxious" hasn't paid attention to the complete trainwreck that austerity policy is. Think things suck now? Wait until the conservatives get in and do the exact same thing, only with more service cuts and tax breaks for the very rich.
Almost everything you've listed is provincial jurisdiction. We don't have a national securities regulator because the last attempt at one was struck down by the SCC. Most business regulation is provincial, zoning is provincial, property taxes are provincial etc.
The BoC controls interest rates, but they act independently, the PM has no control over what they do beyond who they appoint to run it.
The only way they can get involved is with federal-provincial agreements. The provinces have deep connections with developers, so they're not going to do anything about the real issues of restrictive zoning and so on. Just look at Doug Ford and the Green Belt fiasco.
If you want to fix housing, go after the province. Agree or not with what they did, interprovincial pipelines are a federal responsibility.
I'm quick to pounce on both-sides-ism, but OP seems to make a clear criticism of the Liberals policy history without venturing there. On several portfolios, they have done pretty good work, but to imply that they can do nothing on housing affordability is disingenuous. The feds used to fund public housing, and they could do it again. They could work directly with municipalities if the provinces object (which they probably wouldn't).
They also regulate mortgage rules. Term lengths, stress tests, capital gains rules, etc. There are plenty of levers they could pull to make it easier for new home owners, and harder for real-estate speculators. They could also provide low interest mortgages, or interest relief, to designated groups.
The Feds have all sorts of their own levers they could pull to reign in the housing market. To date, the only levers they've pulled are to increase demand (RRPS withdrawls, shared equity (LOL), FHSA).
Nope, because they know that FPTP means they stand a chance at a majority in the future.
PR would mean permanent minority status, which, in turn, means both a) less corporate cash, and b) increased pressure to actually deliver on popular policy, rather than be caretakers for five years.
The part I do not understand is why the press have chosen Squinty McProudBoy and his base of racists, assholes, idiots, fascists, nazis, white supremacists, misogynists, and anti choice jerks. Also zero policies other than Trudeau bad. Plus he is a rich entitled land baron who has never held a job outside politics. trump lite is not what Canada needs or will ever need.
You ever see that graphic of newspaper endorsements over the years? It's very blue. Particularly the American owned papers. No one's looking into that foreign interference though.
Pretty sure he was a Drama Teacher,l. Like the time he grabbed a person in the House of Commons and dragged em though a group of people even though there was a completely open area to their left.
Perhaps for the same reason why the press focuses on Trudeau and Squinty McProudBoy for Prime Minister despite them not being electable. The Prime Minister position is appointed. It means nothing to us.
I am sure the answer is, despite meaning nothing, because that is what the audience is interested in. People like to hear about famous people. The guy who lives next door that you can actually elect, and who will actually be important in your life, isn't famous enough for us to want to pay attention.
Perhaps for the same reason why the press focuses on Trudeau and Squinty McProudBoy for Prime Minister despite them not being electable. The Prime Minister position is appointed. It means nothing to us.
Doesn't that imply someone else is going to be elected? And while the post is technically appointed, they're very much the figureheads of their parties in a given election.
The most pressing issue for young people is housing/cost of living. Whether or not this is typically the responsibility of the federal government, paying only lip service to the issue or saying not my problem enrages people. The federal government needs to actually show some leadership and find some way to incentivize more housing (and specifically denser and affordable housing) at the local level or build it themselves.
While I definitely fault the libs for not doing more, I'm not impressed with the conservative or NDP takes on this issue either.
Jagmeet has run out the clock too. The NDP should be making moves. The time is right. As usual they will not. Conservatives will fall ass backwards into power.
It's almost like young Canadians are tired of seeing useless policies that don't benefit them be passed into law time and time again by the Liberal government. Good riddance Trudeau.
I mean, you're not wrong. You're actually eerily accurate.
People look to systems like fascism when liberalism succumbs to the political version of enshittification, more concerned with short-term political calculus, not offending anyone and ensuring donor cash continues to flow--all at the expense of the welfare of society.
Don't want angry Nazis? Don't make people feel like they have no hope, because some demagogue will come around peddling false hope and rage-farming instead.
To be fair, it's not just young people. Even as a centre left vote I'm voting ABL next time, rewarding their lack of action on so many issues just isn't an option.
It's housing. Which isn't 100% fair since that issue is primarily provincial/municipal. But liberals have always known that the Canadian media (and thus voters) is too dumb for federalism and have never let that stop them from meddling in prov/muni issues before.
I'll never support PP. Between environmental issues, LGBTQ issues, and his general skeevyness, I could never. But I don't blame anybody who is getting renovicted and finding no place to live for noticing he's the only one talking sense on the subject.
Tories want to build 1 million houses in three years.
NDP 500k in ten years.
Both short of the 3.5 million housing delta identified by CMHC.
I get it, this isn't an easy problem, but fuck if we haven't skipped to the "we tried nothing and we're out of ideas" phase.
Immediate repeal of single family zoning and parking minimums, replace building tax with land tax.
"But my provincal/municipal freedoms!" Fucking keep them. You don't have to implement any of the federal suggestions, you just don't get federal funding to roads or transit.
"Why do you want to kill the American Canadian dream of the single family house?" I don't. There is nothing stopping you from building a single family house, it just won't be illegal to build other houses/buildings/dwellings.
"I need parking minimums so I always have somewhere to park" good for you. Parking is a service, you you should start paying for it like people pay for every other fucking service. Business and homes are still allowed to build parking, they just aren't forced to.
"Land tax, what the fuck? I have lots of land" yeah, and that downtown parking lot shouldn't be paying next to zero on taxes, while it's subsidized by 1,000 people living on shoeboxes on the same footprint.
Keep in mind that parking minimums, and the tax structure that means parking lots pay tax on their current "best use" value, not what they could be worth if they were used for something else like housing, are municipal and provincial. There may be a way for the feds to "outlaw" those practices, but it would be tricky to do legally. Otherwise, all they have is the occasional transit project $ carrot.
The data shows the Liberals in a distant third place for 18-29 year olds with 15.97 per cent, compared to the Conservatives and the NDP with 39.21 per cent and 30.92 per cent respectively.
It’s a dip for the Liberals, who were at 26.8 per cent at the beginning of August for the same age group. And it’s a boost for the Conservatives, who are up from 29.3 per cent at the beginning of the month.
That large of a swing over the course of a month seems like a red flag for the data. Did something happen that would explain the shift?
there has been a slight shift in sentiment of liberal attitude and policy after a tumultuous time of controversy for the party in the last few years, particularly the Justin T black face incident coming to light and whatnot. but with that said, it hasn't swung the kids into full conservative social values that will make them vote conservative when it comes time to. this poll certainly is trying to capitalize on the zeitgeist instead of what people's actual values and actions are/will be.
They shouldn't be in third place. They should be fourth or fifth place, behind the Rhinoceros Party, Centrist Party, and the Communist Party, or perhaps even the People's Party.
None of the top parties will decide to work hard to make meaningful and positive change if a fire isn't lit under all of them, and there's no fire greater than an insignificant party suddenly becoming a legitimate threat.
And strategic voting has to be actually strategic. All of the parties play the long game, so we have to as well. If we never show them what we really want by voting for the people and policies we want, even when we think there is little chance of victory, none of them will ever see that we like those policies and people.
Given that we have no "none of the above" option that would force the election to be rerun with different candidates, the best strategy now is to vote for one of the fringe parties, ideally one that is satirical. At this point, there is no party that stands for what actually benefits the masses, so we might as vote for the jokers. Could it really be any worse than the mainstream parties that seem to be actively working against our interests?
The federal Liberals are seeing a dive in popularity among younger voters, once the core of their base, falling 23 points behind the Conservatives by the end of August, according to new polling from Nanos Research.
“That means that the Liberal coalition that was built in 2015, the movement led by (Prime Minister) Justin Trudeau, is slowly unraveling, and they've got to reverse this trend if they want to have any chance to hold on to government.”
From housing affordability to climate change, Trudeau attempted to reach out directly to the demographic that's helped him win past elections.
The prime minister is also meeting with his youth advisory board this week to hear its most “pressing concerns,” with the aim of informing future policy decisions.
Aside from a handful of exceptions, the Liberals have mostly stayed in third place among voters aged 18-29 since the beginning of the year, according to Nanos Research.
For voters in the 30-39 age range, while there’s been a closer back-and-forth between the Liberals and the NDP since January, the Conservatives have fairly consistently come out ahead, something Nanos chalks up to “economic anxiety.”
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Wow, he's decently behind the conservatives too, I didn't expect that. I guess it makes sense in hindsight; the NDP is better at cool kid energy and there's multiple left-wing options, but only one right-wing option.