1d ago

'There Will Be Blood': JPMorgan Hikes Odds of Trump-Triggered Recession to 60%.

www.commondreams.org

'There Will Be Blood': JPMorgan Hikes Odds of Trump-Triggered Recession to 60% | Common Dreams

"The president single-handedly wiped out Americans' retirement savings overnight and subjected businesses to intense whiplash with his increasingly erratic and chaotic policies that continue to drive consumer and business uncertainty."

Business @lemmy.world

jeffw @lemmy.world

1d ago

'There Will Be Blood': JPMorgan Hikes Odds of Trump-Triggered Recession to 60%

www.commondreams.org /news/trump-tariffs-recession

152 comments

How was Thursday and Friday not a recession? I lost > 10% of my 401k in 2 days.
It took 4 years to get to where it was since I stopped contributing right after the 2020 panic. 4 years of happily let my money do what it should, BAM wiped out in 2 fucking days.
- I’ve Lost 15% since this shitshow of president started fucking with things.
  
  Came here to note that S&P has been down over 16% since the clown took the WH and the circus started back up again.
- 10% so far unfortunately.
  Recessions officially require a slowdown of an economy over a longer period of time. Usually the stock market has nothing to do with it, though it can be a canary in the coal mine for it.
  A recession has more to do with unemployment rate rising, negative GDP growth and consumer spending indexes falling.
  Essentially it's just a fancy way of saying the economy is slowing down in every category.
  The stock market is a rich person's playground in this day and age mostly.
  
  The stock market is a rich person’s playground in this day and age mostly.
  Unfortunately, if they do poorly, THAT definitely "trickles down".
  
  it's not an exact measure, but the rule of thumb for a recession is 2 quarters of negative growth
  
  there is 7 quarters remaining. Dumpf will bring the greatest depression in american history and if reserve currency moves away from dollar, there will be wars. Thucydides trap is here and better be prepared.
  
  I wonder why they waited until just after the first quarter. Hmmmmm...
- Get your 401k out of stocks for now. Most plans have money market or other options you can exchange for.
  
  Panic drop out of the market after stocks went down some percent, great advice.
  Just do nothing and keep your rates (or however US 401k works).
  Time in the market beats timing the market
  
  I guess. Other option is to ride it all the way down. I got mostly out after the election. I got the rest of the way out this year.
  
  That's the dumbest advice ever! That's how you lose all your money. Recession is the perfect time to buy even more stocks and shares. Don't get out, get in!
  
  Recession is a good time - at the bottom.
  We're still at the top.
  You guys have fun losing all your money, though. Like the person I replied to complained about.
  
  The only one losing money is you.
  
  ...how?
  Selling near the top and buying near the bottom...?
  
  You're doing the exact opposite.
  
  Howso?
  
  S&S are going down and you're selling, money markets are going up and you're buying. You're literally doing the opposite of what you want, lol.
  
  What are you going to convert your stocks into Euros? Renminbi? USD? Bitcoin? There is just a lot of uncertainty, and I wouldn't recommend anyone selling everything.

152 comments