After Trudeau's resignation, Trump doubles down on the 51st state idea.

Happy new year 2025...

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He obviously hasn’t thought it through. As one state, with a proportionate number of congressmen and electoral college votes, Canada would end up as the anti-Texas, dragging the political centre of gravity well into a Democratic majority. A Trumpist annexation would have to split Canada into two states, Alberta and the rest, as to gerrymander the outcome.
- Assuming they have the grace to make us all citizens and allow us to vote. I'm not holding my breath.
  
  Don't worry I think that pesky voting process is a thing of the past.
  
  At least we'd be a state unlike poor Puerto Rico
  
  Gotta love checks notes taxation without representation?
- canada as a state and voting left, all else the same wrt u.s. presidential election process...
  canada would have two senators, increasing the senate to 102 members. and in a reapportioned house, receive 44 seats, 'taking' 5 from california; 4 from tx; 3 from fl; 2 ea from il, ny, nc, pa; 1 ea from al, az, co, ct, ga, in, ks, ky, md, ma, mi, mn, mo, mt, ne, nj, oh, or, ri, sc, tn, va, wa, wi.
  using 2024 state results (note: figuring ne and me would basically cancel each other out anyway and to keep my 2-minute spreadsheet simple, i just left those two states all-or-nothing), and assuming the great commonwealth of canada, now a u.s. state, would vote left....
  looks like it woulda been 287 for r, 253 for d; with 271 needed to win.
  just adding a state doesn't change how electoral college votes are distributed, it's still heavily skewed in favor of low-pop states because states get equal representation in the senate regardless of population. remember each member of congress.. that's house + senate.. gives their state one ec vote. that's why the hypothetical here doesn't change the overall outcome.
  if each province became a state instead.. things might get 'interesting', then.
  
  Don't forget the territories
  
  oh, i didn't..
  the territories are so small a population, taking them out (to be 'left out' like dc or puerto rico, or other u.s. territory--any of which is larger than any canadian territory by population) wouldn't have changed anything.
  but as states, they'd be, by far, the 'best represented' populations in congress and the electoral college. even nl and pei would be 'over represented' compared to wyoming (the lowest-pop state).
- If Canada agreed to become the 51rst state, by that time it'd be Texas.
- You mean that country that regularly elects Conservative majorities, with a lower overall population than California?

105 comments