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US Election Day November 2024 Containment Megathread

put all of your election posting here so it doesn't bother anyone else!

from @CoolerOpposide@hexbear.net:

For Agitprop purposes, I’m asking comrades to help aggregate any and all effortpost responses, critiques, or general thoughts that you have seen or written pertaining to yesterday’s U.S. election that you think have standalone value for discussion either online or IRL.

I made a post for that purpose here, and ideally it can be used not only for general discussion, but as a reference for well thought out responses in discussions about the election to save all of us some brainpower.

No shitposts please, as we’d like to highlight some comrades’ actual effort in constructing responses or analysis, but humor is 100% welcome to help make your point!

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  • 538-type redditors gooning over this Ann Selzer poll showing Harris at +4 in Iowa because her predictions have been within like 1 points of the actual result for the past few cycles.

    Obviously that kind of performance would be insane so I don't see it happening. But I wonder if it's a sign that her odds are better than those currently represented in the polls and prediction models

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