David Gerard @ dgerard @awful.systems Posts 491Comments 1,192Joined 2 yr. ago

when you say "made it", i think FUCKING ROOSE
that's CFAR cult jargon right?
apparently a complete archive of scott siskind's old livejournal. found on the EA forum no less. https://archive.fo/fCFQx
the user who cannot read has been guided to go not read elsewhere
it's all fallout from the tariffs yeah
still holds - it's still a bunch that needs a label and that's the label
even as TREACLES was right there
(i asked emile, they said it was TESCREAL is very searchable. i mean fine)
The commenter has been directed elsewhere.
I finished and realised Yudkowsky was the good guy in my story here. Because the other guy is fuckin' Sam.
yeah, Nvidia is gonna be fine. They make a useful thing that people want and is the best in its field. I've spoken to Nvidia people, they know damn well this is a bubble and they're making hay while the sun shines, but also NVDA has always been volatile as hell and they tend to assume Mr. Market is just on crack again.
The AI bubble takes out tech and thus the S&P 500. US stocks are fucked. Buuuut, I expect to see in about six hours that they're fucked already. Edit: it's coming up 08:00 UTC. Asia and Europe markets open, down about 10%. Yyyyeeeahhhh boyeeeeeeeeee
In the late 2000s, rationalists were squarely in the middle of transhumanism. They were into the Singularity, but also the cryonics and a whole pile of stuff they got from the Extropians. It was very much the thing.
These days they're most interested in Effective Altruism (loudly -the label at least) and race science (used to be quiet, now a bit louder). I hardly ever hear them even mention transhumanism as it was back then.
Did rationalists abandon transhumanism?
Is it just me? What happened?
How Sam Altman got fired from OpenAI in 2023: not being an AI doom crank (and lying a lot)
now writing up for pivot. this is fucking inane.
I did two Intelligence Squared debates in the UK. The best bit was I got paid. The second best was the people running it were actually very nice and quite competent. Recommend to all.
As for content, the first one featured the guy behind Liberland, so lol
Curtis Yarvin being into lizards is the most endearing thing I've ever heard about him
so I previously predicted the AI bubble would pop on Trump's watch and crash the stock market. Never did I envision Trump doing it to himself, in a manner so stupid I'm not sure anyone anticipated it.
I'm wondering what this does to the AI bubble. I think the bubble is led by trillions of dollars desperate for lottery-sized returns. There's so much family, pension and sovereign wealth money that can't get returns on sane investments that they're left only with insane ones.
This is not about tech at all. If they thought they could do a tech bubble with ELIZA chatbots, we'd have number power plants being restarted to power hyperscale data centres running billions of copies of ELIZA.
What would it take for this crash to affect the AI bubble materially?
By the same fuckin people! A perfect Pivot to AI
"Yudkowsky sincerely believes the following. You'll recognise it because Altman uses it as marketing buzzwords."
a journalist wants to ask me about Urbit. Should I install Urbit so I can at least say I've tried it and can speak authoritatively?
[ ] no
[ ] hell no
[ ] jesus h. christ no why
i just had a 1.5 hour half-hour chat with another journalist about the Fucking Rationalists
i have a call with a third one scheduled for tomorrow
i have followed these fucks for 15 years in detail and i still don't know how to properly explain them to our lovely pivot-to-ai readers
at least it'll be these suckers' job to do the explaining while i rant
fuck. it's rationalist season
112 pages jfc
Bonfire of the LLMs: Gartner forecasts ‘extinction’ for generative AI vendors
LessOnline is a festival celebrating truthseeking and blogging, the totally not race science is just a bonus
OpenAI signs its $40 billion deal with SoftBank! Or maybe $30 billion, probably
EAs sad that their previous rich grifters are trying to distance themselves from the movement
AI in the enterprise is failing over twice as fast in 2025 as it was in 2024
Sam Altman’s Studio Ghibli memes are another distraction from OpenAI’s money troubles
it's yet another sign of the end times when you have to consider Nick fuckin Land's existence again. Here's one of his ex-students in the FT going "wtf"