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  • Russian economy is going towards ruin...

    ... but it's not nearly fast enough to have a substantial impact on the war in Ukraine. Russia is good to fight for another 2 or 3 years, maybe an additional year if they really push it. Can Ukraine do that? Not unless NATO seriously ramps up high tech weapon deliveries.

  • I don't want to go into specific predictions because there are too many. But generally, scientists are very conservative with their predictions, because they don't want to lose grants. It's safe to hide behind numbers and give low estimates.

  • Well, that's not entirely true is it. This territory is not known to have been a place missiles. Plus, Ukraine will not be able to take enough land to even make it a buffer zone for artillery, let alone missiles.

    This land is a liability. You need many troops to defend it that could be somewhere else. That's a fact. The is only a question Wether the pros outweigh the cons.

    Of course we don't know more than Ukrainian commands. We are speculating and talking. But they make mistakes as well. In war there is a game of probabilities and risks.

  • Sometimes when you drive and think you will be able to proceed but something happens that you have to stop and sometimes that's over a crosswalk. That happen. Some car or motorcycle might drive fast or they might run a red light, or three could just be an error that keeps you from proceeding.

    This is not something to get upset about. It can happen for many reasons.

  • It's just messed up messaging. Germany will continue to deliver all the aid that was promised and they might add new aid, but the financing will be different.

    At this point it is necessary to mention Germany provides a lot.

    Also to mention, maybe Germany gov should change their Pr department. These kinds of things have now became a pattern.