This isn't contradictory reporting though (in this case). Both statements could easily be true.
The conflict has been mostly immobile trench warfare for the last year, and casualties have been resultantly high across the board. Both countries have gone through multiple rounds of conscription.
Wagner alone self reported 60,000 combined deaths and casualties, and they're a small fraction of the total fighting, though probably the worst hit.
Ukraine's not any better off though, and Russia has a far greater capacity to replace their dead, so even with those numbers, Russia is probably eventually going to win.
At this point, you could give Ukraine more money than ever existed and they would still claim defeat is imminent for Ukraine unless a few more Trillions are given for aid
Exactly, it's lack of weapons, ammunition, and manpower that's the real problem. That's the material reality of the war, and there's no way for the west to print their way out of it.
A lot of it is just good old chauvinism. They believe Russia to be an inferior culture, and therefore it's unimaginable to them that Russians could have a better functioning economic model and a better military. Russia was supposed to lose because it's backwards and decrepit, all they had to do was blow hard enough and it would fall apart.
A someone who was radicalized during the SMO in Ukraine and used to be on the other side, this is more or less that.
I remember r/Ukraine and other related subreddits treated the conflict like a show.
They focused on every failure of the Russian army (or rather rumors of failure, which they accepted as having happened without any evidences) and ignored all their successes, insisted that they were pathetic and corrupt and that their equipment was falling appart and were just soviet era stockpile, that they got tanks stollen by unarmed farmers (it became quite a meme in pro-Ukraine subs), and generally worked to make the Russian military look like a joke.
I remember in the beginning of the smo they were talking a lot about a Russian column heading for Kiev until one day they suddenly completely stopped talking about it and everyone interpreted the silence as the column having been destroyed or having run out of fuel on it's way or run out of food and water and having been abandoned, it was never clear what they thought happened to that column but everyone were persuaded that SOMETHING happened to it.
There were also these daily charts that supposedly indicated Russian losses, of course, the numbers were never backed by anything, and nothing about Ukrainian losses obviously. They also made a lot of noise when a Russian flagship got blown up and pretended it was a turning point of the conflict. They also kept saying that the Russians thought they would win if 3 days and that they would surely attack a NATO country next, some said the Baltic states, some said Moldova, this too was never really clear.
On the other hand they had a cult like faith in an incoming Ukrainian victory.
They swallowed the "ghost of Kiev" propaganda whole. They were quasi-worshiping the Javelin rocket launchers supplied to the Ukrainian army. There were also talks about a "Neptune" Ukrainian made anti-ship missile coming soon that we never saw. They couldn't go one day without quoting Zelensky, especially the "I need weapons, not a ride" one.
Every day the victory was "happening any time now" yet no proof of material progress were ever shown. Even the maps of the frontlines THEY posted could at most be interpreted as a stalemate if you are generous and ignore every relevant information about both armies. A lot even thought that Ukraine would retake Crimea somehow.
Everyone was completely gaslit and believed that any suspicion of neo-nazi activities in the government or miliary was just Russian propaganda. "there is just SOME neo-nazis and they are only in the AZOV battalion, and it's not like Ukraine has a choice, they need them" and "Russia too has neo-nazis" is how they would justify it when pressed.
To them it was a show, Ukraine was the benevolent hero protecting Europe and Russian was the pathetic evil mastermind trying to take over the world.
Remember when they believed that Russia attacked Nordstream? I got called a Russian bot for stating the obvious: why would Putin blow up his own source of income?
Well you see they started with the human wave attacks, but by the time 87% percent of their troops were dead the rest had leveled up enough to take on the rest of Ukraine by themselves
The 87% is based on the number of troops prior to the war, you know before recruiting policies for the war were issued lol. Its just a stupid stat, i wonder why they dont bring up Ukraines numbers, i bet theyre > 100%.
Even if we take figures prior to the war, this doesn't really add up. BBC and Mediazona were able to cough up only 39k losses, and they're the only ones with any sort of a methodology https://en.zona.media/article/2022/05/20/casualties_eng
Schrödingers Russia, inside a box, if let uncovered, Russia is an evil Superpower which will destroy the west and simultaneously a weak backwards slum fueled by corruption
Western imperialists know that a dedicated weak backwards slum fuelled by corruption could bring down their house of cards version of a weak backwards slum fuelled by corruption.