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SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him] @hexbear.net

4mo ago

Bulletins and News Discussion from October 7th to October 13th, 2024 - Happy International Paragliding Day!

One year on. Hundreds of thousands are dying or dead, millions are displaced, the Middle East is undergoing its greatest changes in a generation, Iran has directly attacked Israel twice in one year, and Yemen has proven that the US Navy ain't worth shit. We are the closest we have been to nuclear war (discounting accidents) in decades, but also the fall of Israel.

Because one day, the prisoners of a concentration camp paraglided over a wall.

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1.7K comments

- Funniest outcome would be Trump somehow winning the popular vote and losing the electoral college which would trigger the Democrat-led National Popular Vote Interstate Compact and push him over the finish line.
  
  Tha isn't in effect. It only kicks in once the states that are part of it represent 270+ electoral votes. It would still be very funny to see Trump win the popular vote and lose the EC, though.
  
  Oh
  
  I feel yr pain, I made a post exactly like your comment a few months ago
- I think there's a really good chance of a 269 to 269 where Harriss picks up Nevada/AZ and loses Michigan and PA.
  
  What happens then?
  
  A Regency is called led by Guaidó
  
  There's a congressional vote and/or a giant shitshow
  
  it's his turn
  
  Kamala concedes because the difference between her and Joe Biden is she's willing to have a Republican in her administration (as in, in the Oval Office, as in, the head chair, as in, the president)
  
  iirc the house picks a winner and the senate picks the vp
  beacon of democracy for the world btw
  
  God that would be so funny
  
  I still think the funniest possibility is chuds somehow winning the popular vote but losing the EC and their collective minds, but the split shitshow of a tie would be hilarious too
  
  Legally, what everyone else said. But this could lead to a crisis of legitimacy if the candidates dug in, and then all bets are off
- Wow Michigan has really flipped hard, huh? Feels like the polls I saw a month or so ago had her ahead there more than any other battleground state.
  
  Large Muslim community there
- Should put the actual results for the 2016 and 2020 elections so you know how off the polls are
  
  The polls were not as far off as this chart is implying. Clinton and Biden campaigns did actually lose lot of steam and made a lot of mistakes in the final couple weeks.
  
  Meanwhile the various wars with Israel keep picking up steam, the response to Helena has been woefully inadequate, and there's a non-zero chance the Ukrainian front collapses in the next couple weeks. I don't envy Kamala right now
  
  The only differences in 2020 were Biden losing NC and winning in Georgia. These polls typically have a 2-3% margin of error so anything in that range is a statistical toss-up.

1685 comments