2mo ago

'Can't believe that': Pollster winces at latest Trump voter data

www.rawstory.com 'Can't believe that': Pollster winces at latest Trump voter data

A pollster this week winced at his own survey's results when it comes to the policies supporters of President-elect Donald Trump support when it comes to dealing with undocumented immigrants.As Axios reports, a new poll from the Public Religion Research Institute shows that 46 percent of Republican ...

Summary

A PRRI poll revealed 46% of Republican voters support using the U.S. military to detain undocumented immigrants in camps, a prospect pollster Robert P. Jones found alarming to survey.

While three-quarters of Americans oppose such measures, Jones expressed concern about the normalization of these discussions during the Trump era.

Axios highlighted Trump’s past remarks endorsing military action against undocumented immigrants and political opponents, raising fears about his potential policies in the 2024 election.

The data underscores growing divides over immigration enforcement and the use of military power domestically.

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Public Religion Research Institute shows that 46 percent of Republican voters support using the United States military to round up immigrants and put them into camps.
At the same time, Jones expressed cautious optimism given that overall support for using the military to round up immigrants remains low for the time being.
Is 46% considered low? I mean anything above 0% is fucking monstrous.
- 46% of republicans, but close to 0% of non-republicans, so it's less than 46% overall support. But obviously one person in support is one too many.
- They're considering 26% to be low. There's 46% support for military round-ups and internment camps among Republican voters compared with 26% among all voters surveyed.
  
  46% of a party that’s slightly less than 50% of Americans.
  Still way too many.
  
  46 percent of maybe 20 percent, turnout and membership isn't anywhere near 100 and 50
- 0% of anything is more often than not an indication of bad polling versus actual public opinion, but the poll shows that three-quarters of Americans don't support the idea. The 46% refers to Trump supporters specifically. A group within a group, and honestly is lower than I'd figure for Trumpists
  
  Always assume that at least 10% of polls are bullshit, from people not understanding the question, the poll, the answers, or people just screwing around, or intentionally choosing funny/ridiculous answers.
  Poll question: do you believe in a deity
  Poll answers: 1 yes there is a god 2 there are many gods 3 I believe in zorg the destroyer who will bring about universal chaos 4 no
  Some people who would answer literally anything else are going to choose 3 simply for the lulz.
  
  It actually says 46% of republican voters, but I do get your point.
- I always use the thirds rule, roughly a third of all voters are head in the sand Republicans. This is the MAGA crowd. Any time I see a survey about US politics, I look for anything beyond 33% to see what the "regular" Republicans represent. In this case, about 13% of regular Republicans would support the measure.
  When I see polls like this gain ground beyond that third, that's when I know the MAGA message is starting to seep into the "regular" voter.
  
  If a third of Republicans are the die-hard ones and 46% of Republicans support it, then the 13% excess over 33% is divided up between 2/3 of all Republicans ("regular" ones). So it's more like 20% of regular Republicans support it.
- They also say 75% oppose it over all. That's all political identifications. The 46% number is Republicans only and likely the highest support number in the study. Another Headline would be Majority of Republicans Do Not Believe in Using Military for Law Enforcement.
  
  SLIM Majority of Republicans Do Not Believe in Using Military for Law Enforcement.
  There. So slim.
  
  The point was to show the flaw in the thinking, not create a good faith headline.
- I thought it'd be higher tbh
  
  That's the danger: We already expect it to be higher and will sit back if it creeps up. All the while saying, "Yeah, that checks out."

38 comments