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Bulletins and News Discussion from May 27th to June 2nd, 2024 - The Virgin France vs the Chad Sahel - COTW: Chad

Image is of a flag ceremony to commemorate the launch of Operation Barkhane, which has since officially been terminated after its failure.

Chad, a country in north-central Africa, borders a lot of active geopolitical areas - Niger to the West, Libya to the North, Sudan to the East - but is scarcely discussed itself. I'm not really knowledgable enough to give anything like a decent history, but the recent gist is that the country was ruled for three decades by Idriss Déby until he was killed in battle in 2021 while fighting northern rebels. Idriss was part of a few wars - such as the one against Gaddafi in Libya, and also the Second Congo War. While he was initially elected democratically in 1996 and 2001, he then eliminated term limits and just kept on going.

After his death, Chad has been ruled by his son, Mahamat Idriss Déby. In early May 2024, elections began which were meant to result in the transition from a military-ruled goverment to a civilian-ruled one. Needless to say, Mahamat won the election - with 61% of the vote. Both father and son have been on the side of the French and the US, whereas the opposition is against foreign colonizers and has attempted to put pressure on the government in numerous ways to achieve a more substantial independence. France maintains a troop presence in Chad, and it's something of a stronghold for them - when French troops were forced out of Niger, they retreated to Chad. However, it's not clear even to the people inside Chad what precisely the French are doing there. I mean, we know what their presence is really for - imperialism and election rigging - but in an official sense, they don't seem to be doing much to help the country materially. What is clear is that they like to intervene on behalf of the ruling regime and against rebels a whole lot - the most interventions by France in any African country, in fact.

The United States, so keen on human rights and democracy in so many places around the world like Russia, Iran, and China, have - for some strange reason! - decided for the last 30 years that they can live with a couple dictators and wars in the case of Chad. In fact, various American state propaganda firms like the ISW and Washington Post have warned the current government about the Wagner Group interfering with the country and spreading anti-Western sentiments as in the rest of the Sahel.

Things are very tough for Chad. They are among the poorest countries in Africa and host about one million people fleeing from nearby conflicts, which is a pretty large number when Chad has a population of about 17 million.

With the French Empire fading, they are beginning to run out of places to retreat to in Africa. Macron, in January, said that his defense council had decided to reduce troop presence in Gabon, Senegal, and the Côte d'Ivoire, though has maintained troop levels in Chad and Djibouti. Meanwhile, on the other side of the planet from France, anti-empire sentiments are boiling to the surface in New Caledonia/Kanaky, which is unfortunate for the French military as they really need that island, both for the massive nickel reserves, but also as an unsinkable aircraft carrier in the Pacific just in case a conflict with China pops off.


The COTW (Country of the Week) label is designed to spur discussion and debate about a specific country every week in order to help the community gain greater understanding of the domestic situation of often-understudied nations. If you've wanted to talk about the country or share your experiences, but have never found a relevant place to do so, now is your chance! However, don't worry - this is still a general news megathread where you can post about ongoing events from any country.

The Country of the Week is Chad! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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  • World bank GDP PPP data just updated. (Most recent data for 2022)

    https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.PP.CD

    #1 China, $31,773,060.55

    #2 USA, $25,439,700.00

    #3 India, $12,998,139.47

    #4 Russia, $5,987,861.45

    #5 Japan, $5,862,116.60

    Germany falls off top 5, replaced by Russia.

    • Makes sense the germany-cool dropped, they really fuck themselfs over their reliance on Russian oil for energy with no good alternatives

    • What's the diff with PPP and other data? Cus I remember seeing a graph which said that depending on the methodology China or US is #1

      • PPP takes a basket of goods and measures the price of them in different countries. Naturally the items in the basket of goods can shift the PPP measurement. Worldbank's methodology explanation is here: https://www.worldbank.org/en/programs/icp/methodology

      • Purchasing Power Parity is a measure of the country's economy in terms of their own currency, rather than relevant to the dollar as GDP is typically measured. The reason why'd you want to do this is to gain a more "objective" sense of the size of a country's economy, outside of the whims of tariffs and taxes and transportation costs and other things which may affect what, say, a loaf of bread may cost in one country compared to another. PPP calculations often use hundreds of representative items to form an accurate measure of PPP.

        It's tempting to be like "Oh, so what's even the point of measuring GDP in dollar terms then? It isn't representative of the size of economies if China and the US switch places, and by several trillion dollars!" The reason why we can't unfortunately just ignore GDP without PPP is because the dollar is the largest international reserve currency, with many goods being priced in it and most countries using it in trade, so it is actually relevant what the "dollar's perspective" (if you will) of economies is.

        Though, honestly, I'd recommend moving away from GDP entirely, PPP or otherwise. Its usage as a very general average of economic growth tends to mask a lot of other relevant effects - electricity growth, industrial growth, resource extraction, poverty rates, quality of life, life expectancy, etc etc etc, all behind a single figure designed to suggest "Well, big number go up therefore economy must be gooder!" I don't think it really has that much predictive power. From the perspective of GDP, for example, Russia lasting this long and even winning against the combined power of every Western country is totally inexplicable - Russia has something like a fiftieth of the combined GDP of the West. It was a common joke back at the start of the war that Russia has the GDP of Italy and yet wants to challenge all of us!

        And this isn't even mentioning that GDP is very goofy measure, because it measures all economic transactions. This sounds okay in theory, until you realize that - yes, the absolutely massive healthcare bills that reach into the tens or hundreds of thousands of dollars for a patient having a single major accident/medical issue; those all count towards GDP. What is superior: a hypothetical country where healthcare was very efficient and effective, with only small costs for patients (ideally paid through taxes and thus "free" when needed by a patient) and very good standards of care? Or a country where healthcare is very inefficient and extremely expensive, where most people go into extreme debt just to pay for necessary surgeries? According to GDP, the latter is a much bigger, and thus better, economy. And this applies for all major, unnecessary costs in an economy, including incredibly overpriced rent.

        Because GDP is so easy to inflate, if a country's GDP goes down, then you know something has critically fucked up, especially in Western countries which are increasingly financialized and where things are getting more expensive and property owners like Blackrock are forming monopolies and thus able to jack up prices with little consequence. Even stagnation or only small growth in a Western country is really bad. It's why the status of being technically in a recession (2 quarters of negative GDP growth) is becoming less relevant of a measure of economic hardship. America isn't technically in a recession and yet the economy fucking sucks for the 90%, thanks to inflation and other such effects, but liberals just see the big GDP number and are utterly befuddled why people think the economy is bad when it's actually great according to that number, coming up with all sorts of conspiracies about the media instead of, like, exiting their bubble of rich investment bankers or media analysts and talking to poor people.

      • PPP removes currency/pricing affects. Under normal GDP, a $10 aspirin pill at the hospital in the US adds $10 to US GDP. That same aspirin pill costs $0.10 in China and thus only adds $0.10 to Chinese GDP, even though both countries produced 1 aspirin pill. GDP PPP prices both pills at the same price to determine who is actually making more stuff.

    • Yawn, come back when they've got the ranking by PPB

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