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Bulletins and News Discussion from May 27th to June 2nd, 2024 - The Virgin France vs the Chad Sahel - COTW: Chad

Image is of a flag ceremony to commemorate the launch of Operation Barkhane, which has since officially been terminated after its failure.

Chad, a country in north-central Africa, borders a lot of active geopolitical areas - Niger to the West, Libya to the North, Sudan to the East - but is scarcely discussed itself. I'm not really knowledgable enough to give anything like a decent history, but the recent gist is that the country was ruled for three decades by Idriss Déby until he was killed in battle in 2021 while fighting northern rebels. Idriss was part of a few wars - such as the one against Gaddafi in Libya, and also the Second Congo War. While he was initially elected democratically in 1996 and 2001, he then eliminated term limits and just kept on going.

After his death, Chad has been ruled by his son, Mahamat Idriss Déby. In early May 2024, elections began which were meant to result in the transition from a military-ruled goverment to a civilian-ruled one. Needless to say, Mahamat won the election - with 61% of the vote. Both father and son have been on the side of the French and the US, whereas the opposition is against foreign colonizers and has attempted to put pressure on the government in numerous ways to achieve a more substantial independence. France maintains a troop presence in Chad, and it's something of a stronghold for them - when French troops were forced out of Niger, they retreated to Chad. However, it's not clear even to the people inside Chad what precisely the French are doing there. I mean, we know what their presence is really for - imperialism and election rigging - but in an official sense, they don't seem to be doing much to help the country materially. What is clear is that they like to intervene on behalf of the ruling regime and against rebels a whole lot - the most interventions by France in any African country, in fact.

The United States, so keen on human rights and democracy in so many places around the world like Russia, Iran, and China, have - for some strange reason! - decided for the last 30 years that they can live with a couple dictators and wars in the case of Chad. In fact, various American state propaganda firms like the ISW and Washington Post have warned the current government about the Wagner Group interfering with the country and spreading anti-Western sentiments as in the rest of the Sahel.

Things are very tough for Chad. They are among the poorest countries in Africa and host about one million people fleeing from nearby conflicts, which is a pretty large number when Chad has a population of about 17 million.

With the French Empire fading, they are beginning to run out of places to retreat to in Africa. Macron, in January, said that his defense council had decided to reduce troop presence in Gabon, Senegal, and the Côte d'Ivoire, though has maintained troop levels in Chad and Djibouti. Meanwhile, on the other side of the planet from France, anti-empire sentiments are boiling to the surface in New Caledonia/Kanaky, which is unfortunate for the French military as they really need that island, both for the massive nickel reserves, but also as an unsinkable aircraft carrier in the Pacific just in case a conflict with China pops off.


The COTW (Country of the Week) label is designed to spur discussion and debate about a specific country every week in order to help the community gain greater understanding of the domestic situation of often-understudied nations. If you've wanted to talk about the country or share your experiences, but have never found a relevant place to do so, now is your chance! However, don't worry - this is still a general news megathread where you can post about ongoing events from any country.

The Country of the Week is Chad! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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  • https://x.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1796564954964791522

    Maybe this is just wishful thinking on my part, but it seems like that's not a huge escalation, and not really different from what's been happening already.

    • it's not any different. It's the latest cope narrative by Ukro fans for why Ukraine isn't winning, the latest "wonder weapon" turnaround story. Before it was "Ukraine will win as soon as we provide Abrams, HIMARS, Javelins, F16s, cluster munitions, etc". Now that the wonderweapon narrative has grown tired and Ukraine is still losing after receiving all of it, there has to be another excuse and thing to focus on so they can win

    • It still crosses Putin’s red line

      • Putin has like 50 billion red lines

        • I believe that painting of King Charles was originally meant to depict all the red lines that Putin has let the West cross without escalating to the same degree, before the King's face was forced into it

          Putin could literally state "If you send X equipment to Ukraine, I am going to fire 10 nuclear ICBMs directly at the White House at 3pm tomorrow." and I would sit back and relax as I know that the West will proceed to send that equipment and Putin will proceed to do nothing.

          • Is Putin soy

            • No, I think that him generally not substantially escalating is a sound strategy, albeit not cathartic for war viewers. Personally, I don't want to die in a nuclear blast. The only issue I really have with the Russians in the messaging department is that they promise something five times larger than they actually deliver, which makes their threats seem like a joke.

              If the Russians merely told the truth, like "If you allow Ukraine to fire at our territory with Western weapons, then we will adapt our air defenses, shoot them down until they are depleted, retaliate in kind against the units firing them at us regardless of nationality, and then our commitment to delivering our war aims will steadfastly continue," rather than making vague-but-not-actually-vague threats about nuking Baltic cities or whatever the fuck, then it would be totally fine. I imagine a subset of people would be displeased that Russia isn't making bigger moves to combat the threats than just those things, but Russia already isn't making bigger moves to combat those threats, so you might as well just be relatively honest.

              Though, this obviously isn't just a problem with Russia. The entire anti-Western bloc seems to have this overpromise, underdeliver issue in response to whatever imperial scheme that the Americans are trying this week. The only ones that I can't really critique are Hamas (they're actually on the goddamn ground resisting a genocide and attriting Israeli forces in awful conditions) and Yemen (a months-long blockade of the Red Sea while enduring attacks from the imperial hegemon is already more than anybody could ask of them and major expansion of operations to the Mediterranean is really going above and beyond). And, well, the DPRK too I suppose, though they're more secretive about whatever they get up to and aren't directly involved in a war (yet).

              Everybody else - China, Iran, Hezbollah, you name it - they've all had occasions where they make speeches promising to rain hellfire onto the imperialists or broadly similar sentiments, but it always feels like there should be a "...in 20-30 business days. Terms and conditions may apply." added on to the end. But honestly, I've found myself worrying about it much less lately than over 2022 and 2023. I mean, for starters, literally nobody gives a shit what I think. What, am I going to write a letter to Xi Jinping or Nasrallah saying that I've officially gotten tired of their hesitation? Why on god's green earth should they give a shit what a 20-something year old British dude thinks about their tactics? So by this point I've accepted that this is how things are going to be so I might as well try and further my understanding of the world and prepare for imperial breakdown to intensify here so I can do my part in the left-wing groups that will (hopefully) increase in power/popularity.

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