Chad, a country in north-central Africa, borders a lot of active geopolitical areas - Niger to the West, Libya to the North, Sudan to the East - but is scarcely discussed itself. I'm not really knowledgable enough to give anything like a decent history, but the recent gist is that the country was ruled for three decades by Idriss Déby until he was killed in battle in 2021 while fighting northern rebels. Idriss was part of a few wars - such as the one against Gaddafi in Libya, and also the Second Congo War. While he was initially elected democratically in 1996 and 2001, he then eliminated term limits and just kept on going.
After his death, Chad has been ruled by his son, Mahamat Idriss Déby. In early May 2024, elections began which were meant to result in the transition from a military-ruled goverment to a civilian-ruled one. Needless to say, Mahamat won the election - with 61% of the vote. Both father and son have been on the side of the French and the US, whereas the opposition is against foreign colonizers and has attempted to put pressure on the government in numerous ways to achieve a more substantial independence. France maintains a troop presence in Chad, and it's something of a stronghold for them - when French troops were forced out of Niger, they retreated to Chad. However, it's not clear even to the people inside Chad what precisely the French are doing there. I mean, we know what their presence is really for - imperialism and election rigging - but in an official sense, they don't seem to be doing much to help the country materially. What is clear is that they like to intervene on behalf of the ruling regime and against rebels a whole lot - the most interventions by France in any African country, in fact.
The United States, so keen on human rights and democracy in so many places around the world like Russia, Iran, and China, have - for some strange reason! - decided for the last 30 years that they can live with a couple dictators and wars in the case of Chad. In fact, various American state propaganda firms like the ISW and Washington Post have warned the current government about the Wagner Group interfering with the country and spreading anti-Western sentiments as in the rest of the Sahel.
Things are very tough for Chad. They are among the poorest countries in Africa and host about one million people fleeing from nearby conflicts, which is a pretty large number when Chad has a population of about 17 million.
With the French Empire fading, they are beginning to run out of places to retreat to in Africa. Macron, in January, said that his defense council had decided to reduce troop presence in Gabon, Senegal, and the Côte d'Ivoire, though has maintained troop levels in Chad and Djibouti. Meanwhile, on the other side of the planet from France, anti-empire sentiments are boiling to the surface in New Caledonia/Kanaky, which is unfortunate for the French military as they really need that island, both for the massive nickel reserves, but also as an unsinkable aircraft carrier in the Pacific just in case a conflict with China pops off.
The COTW (Country of the Week) label is designed to spur discussion and debate about a specific country every week in order to help the community gain greater understanding of the domestic situation of often-understudied nations. If you've wanted to talk about the country or share your experiences, but have never found a relevant place to do so, now is your chance! However, don't worry - this is still a general news megathread where you can post about ongoing events from any country.
The Country of the Week is Chad! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section. Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war. Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language. https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one. https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts. https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel. https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator. https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps. https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language. https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language. https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses. https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Excuse me for a sec while I do some great man of history psychologizing
If Biden loses in November he'll be ok with it because he'll think he's sacrificing his presidency for Israel
That said, I think he's the favourite 55:45 over trump. Americans don't vote based on foreign policy, there are a lot of Normal Whites in the country, and for the 8 Americans that do vote based on policy, he's the same as the republicans except Normal anyway.
I’ve been wanting to make a post about this, because we should have clear eyes here. When you ask Americans about the issues that matter, yes, foreign policy is usually pretty low and sadly Gaza is no exception. I do believe the polls when they say Gaza isn’t high on voters lists - even young voters, because the polling shows they don’t rank it high either.
HOWEVER, I think it’s also important to understand that what Biden is doing in his relentless support for genocide goes beyond what you can see in voters ranking issues. It’s having a huge effect on his reelection chances indirectly
What I mean is, what I saw in W’s 2nd term was that just like with Gaza, Americans didn’t care that much about Iraq per se. But W’s actions w/r/t Iraq going back to 2003 made him absolutely toxic to voters, especially young voters. They had no idea what was going on in Iraq but they knew that W was an evil dumbass and that was enough to get them to turn out for Obama.
Most Americans who aren’t committed to a party vote based on vibes. And vibes around Biden right now, even if they aren’t following Gaza and don’t care much, is that Biden is bad and heartless. It’s what’s going on in the social ether (and our own @mkultrawide@hexbear.net has their own contribution to that!). So in that sense it doesn’t matter that Gaza is way down the list on what voters say they care about. The impact of the genocide in Gaza is multiplied well beyond itself as an isolated issue. Biden has bad juju around him and it’s definitely because of Gaza (and his “let them eat cake” attitude towards inflation and wages).
I hear what you're saying, but I think 2008 was different in some key respects. The global financial crisis unfolded going into that election, meaning that the economy was shattered. Americans actually vote on the economy. Also, bush was clearly the "bad guy" to younger voters, while Obama was the great hope. This time around, Biden is the good guy and trump is the bad guy. Libs who are disaffected with Biden don't have anyone else to turn to.
the economy sucks right now for the majority of people in America though, and instead of doing the "we hear you, we see you" song and dance the Biden admin's surrogates are tut-tutting and pulling out graphs to show that people's experience is wrong ackshully
I think he's definitely going to win the popular vote. Electoral vote is Trumps to lose, but honestly it would be on brand with American politics for the Republicans to fuck it up. I'm not going to be surprised by any outcome.
I've been saying it for a while but Biden needs to die before his term ends just so we can get the Kamala Harris word salad eulogy. It would be one of the funniest events of the decade.
The Governor and I and we were all doing a tour of the library here and talking about the significance of the passage of time. Right? The significance of the passage of time.
So, when you think about it, there is great significance to the passage of time in terms of what we need to do to lay these wires, what we need to do to create these jobs. And there is such great significance to the passage of time when we think about a day in the life of our children and what that means to the future of our nation, depending on whether or not they have the resources they need to achieve their God-given talent.
I think the national security state will simply push the scale to make a Biden win happen. And if they can't push the scale hard enough, there's always martial law.
Trump broke political kayfabe and doesn't always do as he's told almost entirely out of self-aggrandizing petty reasons while Biden either does as he's fucking told or agrees lockstep with them anyways.
I sincerely think the security state would like to see Biden do at least some measure of reining Israel in as they can see the US's influence and what little good will it has ebbing globally
What I mean to say is, they're both prone to buck the "deep state", just not on he same subjects