Bulletins and News Discussion from February 12th to February 18th, 2024 - The Prodigal Failson - COTW: Brazil
Image is of Brazilian chuds storming the National Congress building in opposition to Lula winning the election, on January 8th, 2023, in their remarkably even shittier version of the January 6th events in America.
Bolsonaro, who is in the tragic category of pro-US South American leaders who are so awful and uncharismatic that even they can't get the US to help them overthrow a democratically elected left-ish government, has recently been facing that most elusive of things in this current world order: consequences for his actions. Bolsonaro and his friends have been under investigation by the police, and his passport has now been seized, meaning he is unable to leave the country. Alongside the man himself, the leader of the Liberal Party, Valdemar Costa Neto, has been caught up in searches and investigations. Brazilian Army Colonel Bernardo Correa Neto, a former aide to Bolsonaro, was very recently arrested upon his return to Brazil from the US, as well as another colonel.
Lol, they are really fucked. Iirc, this is a municipal election year in Brazil, Bolsonaro can't campaign publicly, he can't promote his candidates. The leader of his party is currently in prison. And even if he is released from prison, they are forbidden to communicate with each other. The high-ranking members of the Liberal Party are pretty much fucked because they can't communicate with each other and getting support from Bolsonaro could be very bad, as left-wing candidates will exploit the fact that Bolsonaro will probably be imprisoned for planning a coup.
The FBI seems to have concluded its investigation into Bolsonaro's money laundering scheme in the US and handed over its findings to the Brazilian Federal Police, I don't think Bolsonaro can even go to the US anymore, or any other country. And it could get even funnier, there is a very small chance of the Liberal Party being banned and all its seats in congress and the senate being transferred to other politicians, many of whom, even if they are conservative, will be much more favorable to Lula's social and economic reforms, as it has been proven that Bolsonaro used the party to finance the coup.
The Country of the Week is Brazil! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section. Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war. Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language. https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one. https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts. https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel. https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator. https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps. https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language. https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language. https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses. https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
The Police suspected Bolsonaro intended to use the funds to finance his stay in the U.S. while awaiting a possible coup in Brazil.
On Friday, former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro admitted to having sent US$163,265 to an account in the United States shortly before concluding his term, but claimed he did so out of fear of the economic policies his successor, Lula da Silva, would adopt.
Previously, the press leaked a document indicating that the Federal Police suspected Bolsonaro intended to use the funds to finance his stay in the United States while awaiting a possible coup in Brazil.
Bolsonaro clarified that the transfer was made from his savings account at Banco do Brasil to a branch of the same institution in the U.S., stating that the money remained in a Brazilian bank throughout. He added that sending money abroad is not a crime.
According to the Federal Police, the transfer was made on Dec. 27, 2022, five days before Lula assumed his third term as president of Brazil and three days before Bolsonaro traveled to Miami to avoid handing over the presidential sash to his successor.
"The Federal District (Capital) civil police have just charged Jair Renan Bolsonaro, Bolsonaro's fourth son, for the crimes of ideological falsehood, use of false documents, and money laundering."
Last week, a Supreme Court judge ordered Bolsonaro to surrender his passport to authorities to prevent him from leaving Brazil. This preventive measure was taken while judicial authorities investigate his possible participation in the 2023 coup attempt.
A high-profile police operation, which led to the arrest of four prominent figures of the far-right, was carried out on February 8, 2023, following the order for Bolsonaro to surrender his passport.
According to the investigation, the core of the Bolsonaro movement discussed the possibility of preventing Lula's inauguration after his victory in the October 2022 elections.
Although this conspiracy did not materialize, it allegedly led the far-right leadership to encourage the violent assault on the three branches of government on January 8, 2023, which aimed to force a military intervention to overthrow Lula's government.
So, apparently, Bolsonaro and his wife went to Florida to wait for the coup on January 8, 2023. They thought that Lula would give power to the armed forces, but instead Lula intervened and used the national guard to suppress the coup. Lula's wife told the press that Bolsonaro had left his things (clothes and medical supplies) at the Presidential Palace. So this son of a bitch really did have 100% confidence that his shitty coup would work, so much so that he left his things there. Lol.
If someone could write the exact opposite of Sisko leaving his baseball behind when abandoning DS9... this would be it, but not just just the opposite but about the clowniest and shittiest way possible.