Anthropic chief says AI could surpass “almost all humans at almost everything” shortly after 2027
Amodei: “I think progress really is as fast as people think it is.”…
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"Shortly after 2027" is a fun phrasing. Means "not before 2028", but mentioning "2027" so it doesn't seem so far away.
I interpret it as "please bro, keep the bubble going bro, just 3 more years bro, this time for real bro"
haha yeah I got very "we just need $29.95 billion bro just $29.95b trust me bro it'll be so intelligent bro just watch" impression from that as well
Shortly after Musk puts people on Mars.
I recall there being 2 starships on Mars by 2024.
4 2026, 8 2028, 16 etc. (still amazed people don't call him out on his exponential bullshit)
It falls into a broader type of tech hype based in the idea that if it would be good for something to work a certain way then if we can make it work at all it will obviously work in that optimal way. Like, it would be cool if we could get exponential growth in our rockets somehow (Maybe they reproduce? Do the rockets fuck, Elon?) so therefore assuming we can get rockets at all we can definitely make them scale like that.
Call it the Milliways argument. Because if you've already done five thousand impossible things before breakfast, why not cap it off with lunch at the restaurant at the end of the universe?
