Bulletins and News Discussion from September 23rd to September 29th, 2024 - The War In The North

Image is of a Hezbollah missile attack on a military camp west of Jenin.

The situation between Hezbollah and Israel is rapidly escalating, with massive bombing campaigns on southern Lebanon by Israel predominantly on civilians (as the tunnels in South Lebanon are mostly unreachable to the Zionists, just like in Gaza), while Hezbollah and its allies respond with missile attacks predominantly on Israeli military facilities. Israel is spreading an evacuation order to the residents of southern Lebanese villages while also bombing their routes of escape and civilian infrastructure, similar to a terror tactic used widely in Gaza.

Northern Israel is currently under military censorship to hide their losses, so we get very little information other than what the Resistance provides and what videos and images get through the censors.

I don't know if Israel will dare a ground incursion soon, but it seems fairly likely in the coming days or weeks.

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A lot of dooming in this thread. Nasrallah is a massive loss, he'll be missed and honoured as a true hero. But we're really missing the forest for the trees here. What's next for Israel? What wins do they even have left? What happens when tomorrow, and the next day, and the next day, and every day after that, when the rockets keep flying into northern Israel, when the settlers are still unable to return to their homes, when the residents of Haifa keep running for cover? Nasrallah has already won, the decline of the entity is baked in. There's nothing for them to do but death, death at a mass scale, but none of it changes the game. Hezbollah will keep pounding the Israelis, and a thousand Nasrallahs wait in the ranks. Leaders are important, but when the people have resolve you cannot stop them. If you need some hope today watch The Battle of Algiers, it shows how even if you kill everybody, you eliminate all the leaders, you cannot kill the movement. You cannot win.
- what happens when tomorrow, and the next day, and the next day, and every day after that, when the rockets keep flying into northern Israel, when the settlers are still unable to return to their homes, when the residents of Haifa keep running for cover?
  why are we confident that inconveniencing the Zionists is fulfilling a win condition? the squeamish settlers have already left, americans are footing the bill in perpetuity. support for Bibi is at it's highest point so far. you underestimate the enemy. they are ideologically committed freaks, with an unlimited bankroll. they aren't a handful of piedsnoirs, who have to worry about resolve back home. they want the frog to be boiled; they want the conflict to continue so the grass can be cut.
  
  inconveniencing the Zionists is fulfilling a win condition?
  Because that is how liberations struggles work. A resistance movement can never overpower the imperialists (They have a fucking empire) but they can make the inconvenience cost more than the benefit of the colony.
  The settlers aren't the ones who are keeping isisrael afloat they are the ones who will drag the empire down and when the empire realizes the costs are too great they will cut them loose. The empire didnt want gaza or the west bank it was the deranged settlers that pushed for that. usa would have been happy to have isisrael at the 67 borders if that kept everything calm but the settlers keep rocking the boat. All usa wanted was a foot hold, an unsinkable aircraft carrier but the zionist settlers demanded all the land they could take.
  Eventually the accountants will open the books and convince the bosses they can't afford it any more.
  
  Yeah I am not a doomer, but I think people are critically overstating the blows to Israel. You are allowed to say that victory for the resistance is not a given, and these losses are still escalating. There needs to be enough intact to actually mount a resistance when Israel becomes weak enough, or an existing organization to take control if a ceasefire is made.
  I don't claim to know what to do, but I don't like bravado

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