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SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him] @hexbear.net

Bulletins and News Discussion from September 23rd to September 29th, 2024 - The War In The North

Image is of a Hezbollah missile attack on a military camp west of Jenin.

The situation between Hezbollah and Israel is rapidly escalating, with massive bombing campaigns on southern Lebanon by Israel predominantly on civilians (as the tunnels in South Lebanon are mostly unreachable to the Zionists, just like in Gaza), while Hezbollah and its allies respond with missile attacks predominantly on Israeli military facilities. Israel is spreading an evacuation order to the residents of southern Lebanese villages while also bombing their routes of escape and civilian infrastructure, similar to a terror tactic used widely in Gaza.

Northern Israel is currently under military censorship to hide their losses, so we get very little information other than what the Resistance provides and what videos and images get through the censors.

I don't know if Israel will dare a ground incursion soon, but it seems fairly likely in the coming days or weeks.

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  • https://www.bbc.com/news/live/c5y32qew9z2t

    Israeli air strikes kill 274, Lebanon says, as thousands flee south of country

    15:45 BST

    Lebanese authorities have just updated the death toll from today's Israeli air strikes.

    At least 274 people have now been killed, 21 of whom were children, according to Lebanon's health minister.

    A further 1,024 people have been wounded in the strikes, the minister adds.

    Goddamn. They're actually escalating toward a full-on war. Bye Israel.

    • So is the hexbear take on this is that Iran and others may finally get involved now this has escalated?

      • It's too early for me to predict anything. For me the red line is a general ground invasion or attack of this scale on Iran. If I see that, open regional war is on the table. If it remains airstrikes, we've seen airstrikes before. We've seen assassinations before. It's only growing in scale or returning to the earlier invasion tactics which would represent a genuine escalation for me. These attacks, killing 10x last week's number of civilians and directly targeting a hospital, are a genuine escalation whereas the previous strikes haven't been in such a dramatic way. Iranian and Yemeni intervention certainly seem more likely as a result but who knows what their actual red lines are.

      • Iran is doing what they can to stop the genocide. Same with Syria. They have their own roles in the axis of resistance. Iran's job is to build and supply weapons and Syria's job is to deliver the weapons to Hezbollah. If Iran or Syria start direct actions against the entity it will compromise their ability to fulfil the role they have been playing. Hezbollah, Ansarallah, and Hamas can't do the jobs that Iran and Syria do so they are doing direct action because that is what they can do. If Iran gets nuked or invaded by the usa they cant make weapons and the whole axis goes tits up.

2202 comments